Match Info

Premiere Division - Round 15

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Mali	ORTM
World	FIFA+


	Derby Académie		Djoliba

	1	X	2
	5.7	3.1	1.62	Watch
	6.12	3.32	1.56
	6.33	3.26	1.61	Watch
	6.5	3	1.57
	6.84	3.22	1.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.3 ↓ (6.33)	3.18 ↑ (3.03)	1.58 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derby Académie
14.4%

Draw
28.4%

Djoliba
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.5%

30.4%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.3%

30%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derby Académie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Djoliba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby Académie than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Djoliba than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Derby Académie - Djoliba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 4).

In recent matches, Derby Académie has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Djoliba is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Derby Académie may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Djoliba is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Derby Académie won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Djoliba	26	18	5	3	41:12	29	59
9	Derby Academie	26	5	14	7	19:22	-3	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derby Académie
Malian Première Division
02.03.26	USFAS Bamako - Derby Académie	0:0 ✺
06.02.26	Derby Académie - Afrique Football Elite	1:1 ✺
30.01.26	Mali Coura - Derby Académie	1:1 ✺
26.01.26	Derby Académie - Korofina	0:0 ✺
21.01.26	Bougouni - Derby Académie	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TTTTT
- Djoliba AC
Malian Première Division
04.03.26	Real Bamako - Djoliba	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Djoliba - Afrique Football Elite	4:0 ✺
22.02.26	Djoliba - Diarra	0:0 ✺
18.02.26	Binga - Djoliba	0:1 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
15.02.26	Djoliba - San-Pédro	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Malian Première Division
17.12.25	Djoliba - Derby Académie	1:1

Derby Académie - Djoliba: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide