Match Info

Coupe du Mali - Semi-finals

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade Modibo Kéïta (Bamako)


	Real Bamako		Djoliba

	1	X	2
	2.86	2.71	2.67
	2.79	2.74	2.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.79)	2.73 ↓ (2.75)	2.62 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Bamako
32.1%

Draw
33.3%

Djoliba
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

32.7%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

33.3%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Bamako has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Djoliba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Bamako than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Djoliba than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Real Bamako - Djoliba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Extra Time (0 - 0)
Penalties (4 - 5)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Bamako won 1.

Recent performances by Real Bamako have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Djoliba is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Real Bamako may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Djoliba has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Real Bamako won 4 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 0.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Bamako won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Bamako
Malian Première Division
09.05.26	Binga - Real Bamako	1:0 ✺
Coupe du Mali
06.05.26	Real Bamako - Mali Coura	1:0 ✺
Malian Première Division
24.04.26	Real Bamako - Bakaridjan	1:1 ✺
15.04.26	USFAS Bamako - Real Bamako	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Real Bamako - Mali Coura	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWTLW
- Djoliba AC
Malian Première Division
13.05.26	Mali Coura - Djoliba	1:1 ✺
Coupe du Mali
06.05.26	Djoliba - Avenir Tombouctou	3:1 ✺
Malian Première Division
02.05.26	Djoliba - Bougouni	2:0 ✺
15.04.26	Djoliba - Onze Créateurs	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Djoliba - Stade Malien	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Malian Première Division
04.03.26	Real Bamako - Djoliba	1:1
02.02.25	Djoliba - Real Bamako	3:0
02.05.24	Djoliba - Real Bamako	0:1
17.12.23	Real Bamako - Djoliba	0:0
03.06.23	Djoliba - Real Bamako	0:0
19.12.22	Real Bamako - Djoliba	1:1
18.05.22	Real Bamako - Djoliba	0:0

Real Bamako - Djoliba: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide