Match Info

Premiere Division - Round 11

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Complex Sportif Heremakono (Bamako)


	Djoliba		Diarra

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.2	4.95	Watch
	1.7	3.31	5.07	Watch
	1.67	3.24	5.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.73)	3.25 ↑ (3.23)	5.06 ↑ (4.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Djoliba
54.2%

Draw
27.9%

Diarra
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

28.2%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

29.7%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Djoliba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Diarra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Djoliba than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diarra than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Djoliba - Diarra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 and 4).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Djoliba may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Djoliba is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Djoliba won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Djoliba won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Djoliba	26	18	5	3	41:12	29	59
4	Diarra	26	13	5	8	32:24	8	44

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Djoliba AC
Malian Première Division
18.02.26	Binga - Djoliba	0:1 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
15.02.26	Djoliba - San-Pédro	4:0 ✺
08.02.26	Olympic Safi - Djoliba	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Djoliba - USM Alger	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	USM Alger - Djoliba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLTL
- FC Diarra
Malian Première Division
30.01.26	Diarra - Bougouba	0:0 ✺
21.01.26	Diarra - Afrique Football Elite	4:0 ✺
15.01.26	Korofina - Diarra	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	Diarra - Real Bamako	0:2 ✺
02.01.26	Derby Académie - Diarra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Malian Première Division
03.06.25	Djoliba - Diarra	5:1
09.02.25	Diarra - Djoliba	0:1

Djoliba - Diarra: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide