Match Info

Premiere Division - Round 11

Date: 26 January 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Derby Académie		Korofina

	1	X	2
	3.55	2.62	2.22
	3.38	2.59	2.36
	3.49	2.64	2.37	Watch
	3.1	2.5	2.45
	3.47	2.61	2.33	Watch
	3.4	2.57	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↓ (3.74)	2.59 ↓ (2.71)	2.34 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derby Académie
26.6%

Draw
34.9%

Korofina
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

34%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

32.4%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derby Académie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Korofina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby Académie than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korofina than the current prediction. (+5%)

Derby Académie - Korofina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 5).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Korofina might have a minor edge in this game.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Korofina	26	9	6	11	28:31	-3	33
9	Derby Academie	26	5	14	7	19:22	-3	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derby Académie
Malian Première Division
21.01.26	Bougouni - Derby Académie	0:0 ✺
16.01.26	Derby Académie - Real Bamako	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Onze Créateurs - Derby Académie	0:1 ✺
02.01.26	Derby Académie - Diarra	1:1 ✺
27.12.25	Stade Malien - Derby Académie	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TLWTL
- AS Korofina
Malian Première Division
21.01.26	Real Bamako - Korofina	1:1 ✺
15.01.26	Korofina - Diarra	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Binga - Korofina	2:0 ✺
04.01.26	Korofina - Bakaridjan	2:1 ✺
28.12.25	USFAS Bamako - Korofina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TLLWT

Derby Académie - Korofina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide