Match Info

Premiere Division - Round 9

Date: 15 January 2026, Thursday


	Korofina		Diarra

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.98	3.3	Watch
	2.18	2.9	3.51	Watch
	2.15	2.7	3.4
	2.12	2.96	3.42	Watch
	2.14	2.8	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.16)	2.87 ↓ (3.06)	3.43 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Korofina
42.2%

Draw
31.5%

Diarra
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

30.1%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

29.5%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Korofina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Diarra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korofina than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diarra than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Korofina - Diarra Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 and 7)

Korofina is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Diarra's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Korofina might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Korofina won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, Korofina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Diarra	26	13	5	8	32:24	8	44
7	Korofina	26	9	6	11	28:31	-3	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Korofina
Malian Première Division
11.01.26	Binga - Korofina	2:0 ✺
04.01.26	Korofina - Bakaridjan	2:1 ✺
28.12.25	USFAS Bamako - Korofina	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Korofina - Mali Coura	2:0 ✺
17.12.25	Stade Malien - Korofina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 LWTWW
- FC Diarra
Malian Première Division
10.01.26	Diarra - Real Bamako	0:2 ✺
02.01.26	Derby Académie - Diarra	1:1 ✺
27.12.25	Binga - Diarra	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Diarra - Bakaridjan	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	USFAS Bamako - Diarra	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Malian Première Division
27.03.25	Diarra - Korofina	0:0
06.12.24	Korofina - Diarra	1:0

Korofina - Diarra: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide