Match Info

Premiere Division - Round 10

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stade Modibo Kéïta (Bamako)


	Real Bamako		Korofina

	1	X	2
	1.88	3	4.15	Watch
	1.9	2.97	4.48	Watch
	1.85	3	4.2
	1.85	2.99	4.41	Watch
	1.85	3	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.88)	2.99 ↓ (3.08)	4.29 ↓ (4.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Bamako
48.6%

Draw
30.3%

Korofina
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

29.9%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

30%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Bamako has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

The chances for Korofina have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Bamako than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korofina than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Real Bamako - Korofina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Bamako won 2.

Real Bamako is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Korofina's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Real Bamako is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Real Bamako won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.6:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Bamako won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1:0).

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Real Bamako	26	14	7	5	32:14	18	49
7	Korofina	26	9	6	11	28:31	-3	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Bamako
Malian Première Division
16.01.26	Derby Académie - Real Bamako	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Diarra - Real Bamako	0:2 ✺
03.01.26	Real Bamako - Binga	0:1 ✺
27.12.25	Bakaridjan - Real Bamako	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Real Bamako - USFAS Bamako	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLTW
- AS Korofina
Malian Première Division
15.01.26	Korofina - Diarra	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Binga - Korofina	2:0 ✺
04.01.26	Korofina - Bakaridjan	2:1 ✺
28.12.25	USFAS Bamako - Korofina	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Korofina - Mali Coura	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Malian Première Division
15.05.25	Korofina - Real Bamako	1:1
21.01.25	Real Bamako - Korofina	1:0
09.02.24	Korofina - Real Bamako	1:0
31.05.23	Korofina - Real Bamako	1:0
10.12.22	Real Bamako - Korofina	2:0
24.04.22	Real Bamako - Korofina	0:0
23.11.21	Korofina - Real Bamako	1:0

Real Bamako - Korofina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide