Match Info

Women's National League North - Round 20

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Don Amott Arena (Derby)


	Derby County		Hull City

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.32	3.16
	2.05	3.49	3.15	Watch
	2	3.25	3
	2.06	3.82	2.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.43)	3.47 ↓ (3.73)	3.08 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Derby County
44.4%

Draw
26.1%

Hull City
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

24.6%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

23.7%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Derby County's performance.

Hull City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hull City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Derby County that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hull City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Derby County - Hull City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

(3 - 0)

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 10 and 8)

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Hull may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Derby won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Derby won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Derby W	6	2	0	4	6:11	-5	6
11	Hull W	6	1	1	4	6:14	-8	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derby County Women
English National League North Women
22.03.26	Derby County - Burnley	0:3 ✺
22.02.26	Derby County - Sporting Khalsa	1:2 ✺
18.02.26	Stoke City - Derby County	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Halifax FC - Derby County	2:2 ✺
08.02.26	Derby County - Middlesbrough	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LLTTL
- Hull City Ladies
English National League North Women
22.03.26	Hull City - Middlesbrough	2:2 ✺
15.03.26	West Bromwich Albion - Hull City	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Hull City - Sporting Khalsa	2:1 ✺
24.02.26	Hull City - Loughborough Lightning	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Hull City	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North Women
12.10.25	Hull City - Derby County	1:1
13.04.25	Derby County - Hull City	1:2
27.10.24	Hull City - Derby County	2:4

Derby County - Hull City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide