Match Info

Women's National League North - Round 3

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday


	Derby County		Middlesbrough

	1	X	2
	4.28	3.87	1.61
	3.51	3.66	1.87	Watch
	4.20	3.80	1.59
	4.62	3.90	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.15 ↑ (3.54)	3.81 ↑ (3.5)	1.68 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derby County
21.9%

Draw
23.9%

Middlesbrough
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

26.2%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Middlesbrough's recent form is better than expected.

Derby County - Middlesbrough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Middlesbrough will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Derby won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Derby won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Derby W	6	2	0	4	6:11	-5	6
12	Middlesbrough W	6	1	0	5	1:6	-5	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derby County Women
English National League North Women
26.04.26	Derby County - Liverpool Feds	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	West Bromwich Albion - Derby County	0:2 ✺
29.03.26	Derby County - Hull City	3:0 ✺
22.03.26	Derby County - Burnley	0:3 ✺
22.02.26	Derby County - Sporting Khalsa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TWWLL
- Middlesbrough WFC
English National League North Women
12.04.26	Sporting Khalsa - Middlesbrough	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Middlesbrough - Liverpool Feds	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Hull City - Middlesbrough	2:2 ✺
08.03.26	Middlesbrough - Loughborough Lightning	3:1 ✺
01.03.26	Middlesbrough - Wolverhampton Wanderers	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North Women
08.02.26	Derby County - Middlesbrough	0:4
31.08.25	Middlesbrough - Derby County	1:0

Derby County - Middlesbrough: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide