Match Info

Women's National League North - Round 8

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Don Amott Arena (Derby)


	Derby County		Stoke City

	1	X	2
	15.00	6.70	1.11	Watch
	4.89	4.8	1.46
	4.33	4.75	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.07 ↑ (4.01)	5.42 ↑ (5.2)	1.37 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derby County
11.9%

Draw
17.7%

Stoke City
70.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

17.6%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derby County's form might have worsened.

Stoke City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stoke City's recent form is better than expected.

Derby County - Stoke City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 8).

Stoke may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Stoke is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Derby won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.7:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derby County Women
English National League North Women
12.10.25	Hull City - Derby County	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Derby County - Halifax FC	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Middlesbrough - Derby County	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Derby County - Loughborough Lightning	1:2 ✺
17.08.25	Rugby Borough - Derby County	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TWLLL
- Stoke City LFC
English FA Cup Women
26.10.25	Stoke City - Sutton Coldfield Town	7:0 ✺
English National League North Women
05.10.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Stoke City	2:1 ✺
31.08.25	Stoke City - Hull City	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Halifax FC - Stoke City	2:0 ✺
17.08.25	Stoke City - Sporting Khalsa	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North Women
12.02.25	Stoke City - Derby County	4:1
13.03.24	Stoke City - Derby County	2:0
English FA Cup Women
13.11.22	Stoke City - Derby County	2:1 penalties

Derby County - Stoke City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide