Match Info

Women's National League North - Round 9

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday ⏱️ In 0h 26m 📅 Remind Me


	Derby County		Stoke City

	1	X	2
	4.50	4.10	1.53
	4.72	4.19	1.53
	4.75	4.3	1.54	Watch
	4.65	4.10	1.51
	5.17	4.25	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.76 ↑ (4.47)	4.19 ↓ (4.31)	1.52 ↓ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derby County
19%

Draw
21.5%

Stoke City
59.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

20.5%

21.2%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Stoke City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Derby County - Stoke City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6th and 4th).

Performances by Stoke have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Derby could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Stoke is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Derby has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:11 (averaging 0.8:2.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Derby against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Stoke City LFC W	8	4	2	2	16:8	8	14
6	Derby W	8	4	0	4	11:14	-3	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derby County Women
English National League North Women
11.10.26	Derby County - Hull City	2:1 ✺
04.10.26	Derby County - West Bromwich Albion	0:3 ✺
30.08.26	Derby County - Middlesbrough	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Derby County - Liverpool Feds	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	West Bromwich Albion - Derby County	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 WLWTW
- Stoke City LFC
English FA Cup Women
25.10.26	Northampton Town - Stoke City	0:4 ✺
English National League North Women
18.10.26	Stoke City - Rugby Borough	0:3 ✺
11.10.26	Liverpool Feds - Stoke City	0:3 ✺
04.10.26	Stoke City - Huddersfield Town	2:2 ✺
20.09.26	Norwich City - Stoke City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North Women
18.02.26	Stoke City - Derby County	1:1
29.10.25	Derby County - Stoke City	1:2
12.02.25	Stoke City - Derby County	4:1
13.03.24	Stoke City - Derby County	2:0
English FA Cup Women
13.11.22	Stoke City - Derby County	2:1 penalties

Derby County - Stoke City