The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Derby County U21 27.7%
Draw 23.1%
Wolverhampton Wanderers U21 49.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.9%
23.4%
38.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.6%
23.2%
38.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derby County U21's form might have worsened.
Wolverhampton Wanderers U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wolverhampton Wanderers U21's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County U21 than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derby County U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolverhampton Wanderers U21 than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wolverhampton Wanderers U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
0%
83.3%
Derby County U21 - Wolverhampton Wanderers U21 Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Derby U21 will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Wolverhampton U21 will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Price H. (G) 2. Bardell M. (C) 5. Osayande A. 6. Robinson K. 3. Gill T. 4. Turley F. 8. Allen C. 7. Perry J. 10. Stepien-Iwumene A. 11. McAndrew N. 9. Wheeldon L.
1. Benjamin L. (G) 2. White A. 4. Mabete F. 5. Voice C. 3. Sutherland E. 7. Esen J. 6. Ashworth F. 8. Barnett T. 11. Edozie T. 10. Whittingham M. 9. Holman F.
Substitutes
16. Cox D. 15. Hawkins H. 12. Moloney R. 13. Shattell J. (G) 14. Spencer M.
14. Angel Enguru Mangue D. 15. Bradbury M. 12. Lopes L. 16. Okoduwa W. 17. Olagunju S.
Coaches
Buxton J.
Collins J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (4 - 0)
27', Turley F. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, White A. (Own goal),
31', 2 - 0, Perry J. ⚽,
34', 3 - 0, Wheeldon L. ⚽, Perry J. (A),
37', 4 - 0, McAndrew N. ⚽, Allen C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Barnett T. ↓, Angel Enguru Mangue D. ↑,
59', Edozie T. ↓, Lopes L. ↑,
64', Turley F. ↓, Hawkins H. ↑,
69', 4 - 1, Holman F. ⚽,
78', Holman F. ↓, Olagunju S. ↑,
78', Voice C. ↓, Bradbury M. ↑,
82', McAndrew N. ↓, Moloney R. ↑,
85', Perry J. ↓, Cox D. ↑,
89', Bradbury M. 🟨,
89', Lopes L. 🟨,
Preview
Derby U21 is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Wolverhampton U21 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Wolverhampton U21 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Derby U21 won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Derby U21 won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.