The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Derby County U21 15.4%
Draw 20.2%
Manchester City U21 64.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
16.8%
18.6%
64.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16.2%
18%
66.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Manchester City U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County U21 than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester City U21 than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Derby County U21 - Manchester City U21 Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Thompson J. (G) 2. Johnston M. 5. Offor R. 6. Langas S. 3. Robinson K. 8. Gill K. 4. Banks L. (C) 7. Mintus M. 10. Richards J. 11. Wahling J. 9. Oguntolu J.
1. Brits S. (G) 2. Henderson-Hall M. 5. McFarlane C. 6. Dada-Mascoll I. 3. Noble K. (C) 8. Samba F. 4. Braithwaite K. 7. Muir A. 10. Nypan S. 11. Heskey R. 9. Sangare M.
Substitutes
14. Green I. 16. Hodges D. 13. OโNeill S. (G) 15. Osong J. 12. Perry J.
15. Fapetu F. 13. Hudson M. (G) 12. Nfonkeu B. 14. Thomas R. 16. Warhurst M.
Coaches
Maye D.
Wilkinson B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Langas S. ↓, Osong J. ↑,
43', Braithwaite K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Wahling J. ↓, Hodges D. ↑,
46', Johnston M. ↓, Perry J. ↑,
46', Gill K. ↓, Green I. ↑,
55', Oguntolu J. 🟨,
58', 1 - 0, Oguntolu J. (Penalty Awarded),
62', Sangare M. ↓, Warhurst M. ↑,
62', Henderson-Hall M. ↓, Nfonkeu B. ↑,
72', Dada-Mascoll I. ↓, Fapetu F. ↑,
76', Perry J. 🟨,
90+7', Warhurst M. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 28 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League 2 (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Recent form of Derby U21 has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Man City U21 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
In this match, Man City U21 is the team to beat.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Derby U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 3:2.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Derby U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 3:2.5).