Match Info

Date: 16 October 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Chelsea U23		Derby County U23

	1	X	2
	1.51	4	4.8
	1.53	4.1	4.3
	1.47	4.3	4.6
	1.55	4.29	4.99
	1.54	4.5	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.51)	4.24 ↓ (4.34)	4.69 ↓ (4.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelsea U23
59.4%

Draw
21.3%

Derby County U23
19.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.2%

21%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

18.4%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelsea U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Derby County U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea U23 than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chelsea U23 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County U23 than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Derby County U23 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chelsea U23 - Derby County U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Chelsea U23 is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Derby U23 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Derby U23 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Chelsea U23 is absolute favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Chelsea U23 won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Chelsea U23 won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chelsea U23
English Premier League 2
03.10.21	Chelsea U23 - Blackburn Rovers U23	0:1 ✺
24.09.21	Chelsea U23 - Liverpool U23	4:3 ✺
19.09.21	Chelsea U23 - Arsenal U23	1:6 ✺
11.09.21	Manchester City U23 - Chelsea U23	4:1 ✺
29.08.21	West Ham United U23 - Chelsea U23	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLL
- Derby County U23
English Premier League Cup
11.10.21	Derby County U23 - Charlton Athletic U23	2:1 ✺
English Premier League 2
02.10.21	Manchester City U23 - Derby County U23	1:0 ✺
27.09.21	Tottenham Hotspur U23 - Derby County U23	3:1 ✺
20.09.21	Derby County U23 - West Ham United U23	3:1 ✺
English Premier League Cup
13.09.21	Norwich City U23 - Derby County U23	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League 2
15.02.21	Derby County U23 - Chelsea U23	2:1
17.10.20	Chelsea U23 - Derby County U23	3:2
07.12.19	Chelsea U23 - Derby County U23	3:3
12.08.19	Derby County U23 - Chelsea U23	0:1
04.02.19	Derby County U23 - Chelsea U23	0:1
24.08.18	Chelsea U23 - Derby County U23	0:1
31.03.18	Derby County U23 - Chelsea U23	0:3

Chelsea U23 - Derby County U23

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Chelsea U23 - Derby County U23 Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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