Match Info
Date: 16 October 2021, Saturday
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 |
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 |
|
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Chelsea U23 |
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Derby County U23 |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.51 |
4 |
4.8 |
|
 |
1.53 |
4.1 |
4.3 |
|
 |
1.47 |
4.3 |
4.6 |
|
 |
1.55 |
4.29 |
4.99 |
|
 |
1.54 |
4.5 |
4.75 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↑
(1.51) |
4.24 ↓
(4.34) |
4.69 ↓
(4.84) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
- The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Chelsea U23
59.4% | Draw
21.3% | Derby County U23
19.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chelsea U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Derby County U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea U23 than the current prediction. (-20.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chelsea U23 that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County U23 than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Derby County U23 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Chelsea U23 - Derby County U23 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1 
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Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 and 14 in the zone Relegation). Chelsea U23 is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1). Recent matches Derby U23 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2). Derby U23 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. In this match Chelsea U23 is absolute favorite.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Chelsea U23 won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17-12. Including matches at home between the teams Chelsea U23 won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-8.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| English Premier League 2 | | | 15.02.21 | Derby County U23 - Chelsea U23 | 2:1 | | 17.10.20 | Chelsea U23 - Derby County U23 | 3:2 | | 07.12.19 | Chelsea U23 - Derby County U23 | 3:3 | | 12.08.19 | Derby County U23 - Chelsea U23 | 0:1 | | 04.02.19 | Derby County U23 - Chelsea U23 | 0:1 | | 24.08.18 | Chelsea U23 - Derby County U23 | 0:1 | | 31.03.18 | Derby County U23 - Chelsea U23 | 0:3 |
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