Match Info

TURKEY: 2. LIG RED GROUP - ROUND 14

Date: 19 November 2023, Sunday


	Derince Belediyespor		İnegölspor

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.1	1.95
	3.5	3.25	2.05	Watch
	3.58	3.1	2.13
	3.58	3.09	2.14
	3.4	3.13	2.05
	3.55	3.15	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.52 ↑ (2.95)	3.14 ↑ (3.07)	2.05 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derince Belediyespor
26%

Draw
29.2%

İnegölspor
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

29.8%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

29.7%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derince Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derince Belediyespor's form might have worsened.

İnegölspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting İnegölspor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derince Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derince Belediyespor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for İnegölspor than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for İnegölspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Derince Belediyespor - İnegölspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 9).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

İnegölspor will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Derince Belediyespor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derince Belediyespor
Turkish Second League Red Group
12.11.23	Fethiyespor - Derince Belediyespor	1:2 ✺
05.11.23	Derince Belediyespor - 24 Erzincanspor	1:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
01.11.23	İnegölspor - Derince Belediyespor	1:2 ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
28.10.23	Etimesgut - Derince Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
22.10.23	Derince Belediyespor - Arnavutköy	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.9 WTWLT
- İnegölspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
12.11.23	İnegölspor - Uşakspor	2:0 ✺
05.11.23	Iskenderunspor - İnegölspor	3:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
01.11.23	İnegölspor - Derince Belediyespor	1:2 ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
28.10.23	İnegölspor - Aksaray Belediyespor	4:1 ✺
22.10.23	Düzcespor - İnegölspor	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Cup
01.11.23	İnegölspor - Derince Belediyespor	1:2

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