Match Info

TURKEY: 2. Lig Red Group - Round 18

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday


	Derince Belediyespor		Vanspor

	1	X	2
	7	4.4	1.35
	5.8	4.1	1.37
	7.3	4.52	1.37
	7.8	4.45	1.34
	5.8	4.1	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.74 ↓ (7)	4.31 ↑ (4.18)	1.36 ↑ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derince Belediyespor
13.3%

Draw
20.8%

Vanspor
65.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.7%

21.3%

66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.3%

20.7%

67.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derince Belediyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Vanspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derince Belediyespor than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vanspor than the current prediction. (+2%)

Derince Belediyespor - Vanspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
13', 0 - 1, Ornek M. ⚽,
23', 0 - 2, Abdioglu Y. ⚽,
34', 1 - 2, Altintas B. (Pen),
37', 1 - 3, Kavaklidere H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+3', 1 - 4, Bilal H. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derince Belediyespor
Turkish Second League Red Group
22.12.24	Derince Belediyespor - Nazillispor	2:1 ✺
15.12.24	Giresunspor - Derince Belediyespor	2:2 ✺
08.12.24	Derince Belediyespor - Karaman Belediyespor	0:0 ✺
30.11.24	Derince Belediyespor - Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu	0:0 ✺
23.11.24	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi - Derince Belediyespor	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTTTL
- Vanspor FK
Turkish Second League Red Group
22.12.24	Karaman Belediyespor - Vanspor	0:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
17.12.24	Çaykur Rizespor - Vanspor	6:0 ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
15.12.24	Vanspor - Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu	5:1 ✺
08.12.24	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi - Vanspor	1:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
04.12.24	Bursaspor - Vanspor	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
01.09.24	Vanspor - Derince Belediyespor	2:1

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