Match Info

TURKEY: Turkish Cup - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 4 December 2024, Wednesday

Location: Timsah Arena (Bursa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	A Spor
Turkey	A Spor


	Bursaspor		Vanspor

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.4	2.4
	2.55	3.1	2.5
	2.37	3.55	2.55
	2.54	3.11	2.5
	2.6	3.35	2.47	Watch
	2.62	3.1	2.45
	2.7	3.18	2.6	Watch
	2.37	3.55	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (3.41)	3.29 ↓ (3.41)	2.5 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bursaspor
36%

Draw
27.7%

Vanspor
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

26.9%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bursaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bursaspor's performance.

Vanspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vanspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bursaspor than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bursaspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vanspor than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vanspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bursaspor - Vanspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
65', 1 - 0, Dalkiran B. ⚽,
68', 1 - 1, Kavaklidere H. ⚽,
74', 1 - 2, Kor B. ⚽,
89', 2 - 2, Ozek A. ⚽,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
Penalties (6 - 7)
1, Ozek A. (Pen),
1, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
5, (Pen),
5, (Pen),
6, (Pen),
6, (Pen),
7, (Pen),
7, (Pen),
8, (Pen),
8, (Pen),

Preview

Bursaspor in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Vanspor is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bursaspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Bursaspor have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bursaspor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bursaspor
Turkish 3 Lig Group 1
01.12.24	Bursaspor - Artvin Hopaspor	2:1 ✺
16.11.24	Bursaspor - Bulvarspor	3:0 ✺
10.11.24	Kırşehir - Bursaspor	1:2 ✺
03.11.24	Bursaspor - Kusadasispor	4:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
31.10.24	Bursaspor - Turgutlu	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWWW
- Vanspor FK
Turkish Second League Red Group
30.11.24	Vanspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	2:0 ✺
23.11.24	Bucaspor 1928 - Vanspor	2:4 ✺
17.11.24	Vanspor - Serik Belediyespor	1:2 ✺
10.11.24	Yeni Diyarbakırspor - Vanspor	0:1 ✺
03.11.24	Vanspor - Somaspor	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League White Group
25.12.23	Vanspor - Bursaspor	3:0

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