Match Info

Serie D - Group A - Round 18

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Derthona		Club Milano

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	2.8
	2.18	3.05	3.05
	2.20	3.15	3.12	Watch
	2.25	3.15	3.22
	2.2	3.1	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.21)	3.15 ↑ (3.1)	3.06 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derthona
41.5%

Draw
28.8%

Club Milano
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

29.5%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

29.8%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derthona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Club Milano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derthona than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Milano than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Derthona - Club Milano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Turco N. ⚽,
36', 2 - 0, Turco N. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 3 - 0, Patti F. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Derthona could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Derthona won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Derthona FbC	6	3	2	1	7:6	1	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derthona FBC
Italian Serie D - Group A
21.12.25	Derthona - Saluzzo	1:3 ✺
14.12.25	Imperia - Derthona	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Derthona - Varese	1:2 ✺
30.11.25	Derthona - Unione Sanremo	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Celle Varazze - Derthona	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLLW
- Club Milano
Italian Serie D - Group A
21.12.25	Asti - Club Milano	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Club Milano - Unione Sanremo	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
03.12.25	Club Milano - Mestre	1:0 penalties ✺
Italian Serie D - Group A
30.11.25	Club Milano - Cairese	0:1 ✺
24.11.25	Biellese - Club Milano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
07.09.25	Club Milano - Derthona	2:3

Derthona - Club Milano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide