Match Info

Serie D - Group A - Round 16

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday


	Imperia		Derthona

	1	X	2
	2.33	3.35	2.74	Watch
	2.32	3.16	2.82
	2.3	3.2	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.38)	3.24 ↓ (3.44)	2.8 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Imperia
39.3%

Draw
28.1%

Derthona
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

26.6%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

26.3%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Imperia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Derthona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Imperia than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derthona than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Imperia - Derthona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
67', 0 - 1, Turco N. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Imperia won 2.

Imperia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Derthona has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Imperia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.8:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Imperia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Imperia
Italian Serie D - Group A
07.12.25	Unione Sanremo - Imperia	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Imperia - NovaRomentin	3:0 ✺
26.11.25	Imperia - Cairese	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Asti - Imperia	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Biellese - Imperia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WWWWL
- Derthona FBC
Italian Serie D - Group A
07.12.25	Derthona - Varese	1:2 ✺
30.11.25	Derthona - Unione Sanremo	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Celle Varazze - Derthona	0:2 ✺
16.11.25	Derthona - NovaRomentin	3:0 ✺
09.11.25	Asti - Derthona	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
16.02.25	Derthona - Imperia	4:2
20.10.24	Imperia - Derthona	2:3
06.03.22	Imperia - Derthona	3:0
24.10.21	Derthona - Imperia	4:2
28.02.21	Imperia - Derthona	2:0
11.10.20	Derthona - Imperia	2:0

Imperia - Derthona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide