Match Info

Serie D - Group A - Round 8

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday


	Derthona		Lavagnese

	1	X	2
	2.94	2.88	2.38
	3.09	3.01	2.29	Watch
	3.1	2.92	2.31
	3.02	2.97	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↓ (3.15)	2.95 ↓ (3)	2.33 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derthona
30%

Draw
30.9%

Lavagnese
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

30.6%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

29.5%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derthona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Lavagnese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derthona than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lavagnese than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Derthona - Lavagnese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Scalzi F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derthona won 2.

Derthona is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lavagnese's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Lavagnese is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Derthona won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Derthona won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Lavagnese - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.26%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derthona FBC
Italian Serie D - Group A
12.10.25	Chisola - Derthona	3:1 ✺
05.10.25	Derthona - Gozzano	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Valenzana Mado - Derthona	1:2 ✺
24.09.25	Derthona - Ligorna	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Vado - Derthona	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTWLL
- USD Lavagnese 1919
Italian Serie D - Group A
12.10.25	Lavagnese - Saluzzo	1:3 ✺
05.10.25	Unione Sanremo - Lavagnese	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Lavagnese - Celle Varazze	0:0 ✺
24.09.25	NovaRomentin - Lavagnese	3:1 ✺
20.09.25	Lavagnese - Asti	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
12.01.25	Lavagnese - Derthona	0:3
15.09.24	Derthona - Lavagnese	2:2
04.02.24	Derthona - Lavagnese	1:4
10.04.22	Derthona - Lavagnese	0:0
28.11.21	Lavagnese - Derthona	1:2
04.05.21	Lavagnese - Derthona	3:4
13.01.21	Derthona - Lavagnese	1:2

Derthona - Lavagnese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide