Match Info
Serie D - Group A - Play Out - FinalDate: 10 May 2026, Sunday
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Derthona |
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Gozzano |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.32 |
3.05 |
2.82 |
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2.42 |
3.1 |
2.81 |
 Watch |
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2.38 |
3.06 |
2.74 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.37 ↑
(2.28) |
3.07 ↑
(3) |
2.79 ↓
(2.92) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Derthona
38.1% | Draw
29.5% | Gozzano
32.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derthona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Gozzano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derthona than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gozzano than the current prediction. (-1.3%)Derthona - Gozzano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Gemelli R. ⚽,
- 10', 1 - 1, (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- Extra Time (0 - 1)
- 102', 1 - 2, Carollo M. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derthona won 1.Derthona is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).Gozzano has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1). The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Derthona won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Derthona won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | Derthona FbC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 11 |
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| 6 | Gozzano | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Gozzano - the odds 2.92 are the expected chance of winning is 30.73%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Italian Serie D - Group A | | | 08.02.26 | Gozzano - Derthona | 1:1 | | 05.10.25 | Derthona - Gozzano | 1:1 | | 25.01.25 | Derthona - Gozzano | 0:1 | | 27.01.24 | Derthona - Gozzano | 0:3 | | 30.09.23 | Gozzano - Derthona | 0:2 | | 05.02.23 | Gozzano - Derthona | 3:1 | | 02.10.22 | Derthona - Gozzano | 3:0 |
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