Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Clausura - Round 16

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Costa-rica	TDMAX


	Desamparados		Escorpiones de Belén

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.2	2.35
	2.68	3.5	2.43
	2.58	3.57	2.49	Watch
	2.63	3.25	2.38
	2.78	3.71	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (3.21)	3.45 ↓ (3.68)	2.37 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Desamparados
34.6%

Draw
26.7%

Escorpiones de Belén
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

25.3%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

24.5%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Desamparados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Desamparados's performance.

Escorpiones de Belén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Escorpiones de Belén might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desamparados than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Desamparados that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Escorpiones de Belén than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Escorpiones de Belén could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Desamparados - Escorpiones de Belén Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Desamparados won 2.

Recent performances by Desamparados have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Escorpiones is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Escorpiones may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Escorpiones will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Desamparados won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:26. (average 1.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Desamparados won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.7:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fútbol Consultants Desamparados
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
25.03.26	Carmelita - Desamparados	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Desamparados - Santa Ana	2:1 ✺
12.03.26	Desamparados - Aserrí	6:2 ✺
28.02.26	Uruguay de Coronado - Desamparados	3:1 ✺
25.02.26	Pitbulls - Desamparados	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWWLL
- Escorpiones de Belén
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
26.03.26	Escorpiones de Belén - Uruguay de Coronado	2:0 ✺
23.03.26	Pitbulls - Escorpiones de Belén	1:1 ✺
16.03.26	Escorpiones de Belén - Cariari Pococí	4:1 ✺
07.03.26	Carmelita - Escorpiones de Belén	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Escorpiones de Belén - Santa Ana	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
14.02.26	Escorpiones de Belén - Desamparados	1:1
02.11.25	Escorpiones de Belén - Desamparados	2:2
18.09.25	Desamparados - Escorpiones de Belén	3:2
31.03.25	Desamparados - Escorpiones de Belén	3:2
15.02.25	Escorpiones de Belén - Desamparados	2:2
14.10.24	Escorpiones de Belén - Desamparados	3:2
01.09.24	Desamparados - Escorpiones de Belén	0:1

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