Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Grand Final - Final

Date: 1 June 2025, Sunday


	Desamparados		Guadalupe

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.2	2.25
	2.68	3.27	2.38
	3	3.57	2.21	Watch
	2.8	3	2.4
	2.98	3.35	2.15
	2.7	3.25	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.67)	3.27 ↑ (3.02)	2.3 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Desamparados
32.4%

Draw
27.9%

Guadalupe
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

30%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

31.5%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Desamparados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Guadalupe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desamparados than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guadalupe than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Desamparados - Guadalupe Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Barrantes D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
73', 1 - 1, Lopez R. ⚽,
Extra Time (0 - 1)
105', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Desamparados won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Guadalupe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Desamparados won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Desamparados won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fútbol Consultants Desamparados
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
23.05.25	Guadalupe - Desamparados	1:1 ✺
18.05.25	Inter San Carlos - Desamparados	0:1 penalties ✺
12.05.25	Desamparados - Inter San Carlos	1:1 ✺
05.05.25	Desamparados - Jicaral	3:1 ET ✺
01.05.25	Jicaral - Desamparados	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 TWTWL
- Guadalupe FC
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
23.05.25	Guadalupe - Desamparados	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	Inter San Carlos - Guadalupe	4:0 ✺
19.04.25	Guadalupe - Inter San Carlos	2:1 ✺
13.04.25	Guadalupe - Aserrí	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	Uruguay de Coronado - Guadalupe	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
23.05.25	Guadalupe - Desamparados	1:1
05.03.25	Desamparados - Guadalupe	0:1
18.01.25	Guadalupe - Desamparados	0:4
18.09.24	Guadalupe - Desamparados	2:0
02.08.24	Desamparados - Guadalupe	1:2
15.03.24	Desamparados - Guadalupe	1:2
02.02.24	Guadalupe - Desamparados	2:1

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