The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Uruguay de Coronado 19.6%
Draw 22.4%
Guadalupe 58%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
33.9%
26.7%
39.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.5%
26.3%
40.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Uruguay de Coronado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Uruguay de Coronado's form might have worsened.
Guadalupe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guadalupe's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uruguay de Coronado than the current prediction. (+13.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Uruguay de Coronado, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guadalupe than the current prediction. (-17.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guadalupe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - Guadalupe (2.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Guadalupe (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', 1 - 1, ⚽,
55', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 8th and 3rd in the Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uruguay de Coronado won 1.
Recent results have been tough for Uruguay de Coronado (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Guadalupe is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Uruguay de Coronado may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Guadalupe carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Uruguay de Coronado has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:21 (averaging 0.9:2.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Uruguay de Coronado against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 5:13 goals (averaging 1:2.6 per game).
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