Match Info

Date: 23 October 2022, Sunday


	Desenzano Calvina		Varese

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.2
	2.1	3.1	3.2
	2.03	3.17	3.37
	2.02	3.1	3.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.12)	3.12 ↑ (3.1)	3.31 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Desenzano Calvina
43.9%

Draw
28.9%

Varese
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

29.3%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

29%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Desenzano Calvina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Varese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varese than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Desenzano Calvina - Varese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out)).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Desenzano will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group B
16.10.22	Caronnese - Desenzano Calvina	2:0 ✺
09.10.22	Desenzano Calvina - Arconatese	2:2 ✺
02.10.22	Brusaporto - Desenzano Calvina	2:0 ✺
28.09.22	Desenzano Calvina - Breno	1:0 ✺
18.09.22	Villa Valle - Desenzano Calvina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTLWL
- Varese FC
Italian Serie D - Group B
16.10.22	Varese - Breno	2:2 ✺
09.10.22	Varesina - Varese	4:1 ✺
02.10.22	Varese - Real Calepina	0:2 ✺
28.09.22	Casatese - Varese	0:0 ✺
18.09.22	Varese - Seregno	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLLTT

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