Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 14

Date: 19 November 2023, Sunday


	Villa Valle		Desenzano Calvina

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	2.6
	2.29	3.2	2.82
	2.29	3.13	2.82
	2.2	3.1	2.7
	2.29	3.24	2.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.55)	3.17 ↑ (3.15)	2.75 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Valle
39.3%

Draw
28.2%

Desenzano Calvina
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

28.8%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

28.3%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Desenzano Calvina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Valle than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

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Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: ) and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Villa Valle won 2.

Recent matches Villa Valle is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Desenzano is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Villa Valle won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Villa Valle won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Villa Valle
Italian Serie D - Group B
12.11.23	Pro Palazzolo - Villa Valle	0:0 ✺
05.11.23	Villa Valle - Caravaggio	1:0 ✺
01.11.23	Arconatese - Villa Valle	2:1 ✺
29.10.23	Villa Valle - Folgore Caratese	1:1 ✺
22.10.23	Tritium - Villa Valle	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TWLTW
- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group B
12.11.23	Desenzano Calvina - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	1:1 ✺
05.11.23	Varesina - Desenzano Calvina	3:2 ✺
01.11.23	Desenzano Calvina - Real Calepina	1:1 ✺
29.10.23	Brusaporto - Desenzano Calvina	2:1 ✺
22.10.23	Desenzano Calvina - Castellanzese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
22.01.23	Desenzano Calvina - Villa Valle	1:1
18.09.22	Villa Valle - Desenzano Calvina	2:0
02.03.22	Villa Valle - Desenzano Calvina	2:2
26.09.21	Desenzano Calvina - Villa Valle	2:0
30.05.21	Villa Valle - Desenzano Calvina	4:0
03.02.21	Desenzano Calvina - Villa Valle	3:2

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