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Current Win Probability
Desportiva Ferroviaria 28.1%
Draw 31.7%
Rio Branco AC ES 40.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39%
28.1%
32.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.8%
28.7%
32.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Desportiva Ferroviaria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Desportiva Ferroviaria's form might have worsened.
Rio Branco AC ES has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rio Branco AC ES's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desportiva Ferroviaria than the current prediction. (+11.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Desportiva Ferroviaria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Branco AC ES than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rio Branco AC ES, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Desportiva Ferroviaria - Rio Branco AC ES Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
32. Pedro Zanette (G) 23. Bahia 2. Jairo 3. Janelson 14. Jorge Mendes 9. Romaneli 5. Ruan 20. Tiago Moura 4. Vinicius Leandro 6. Wilian Simoes 11. Yan de Jesus
1. Fernando Henrique (C) 26. Breninho 15. Carlinhos 4. Darlan Santos 7. David Lopes 14. Matheus Castelo 22. Murilo Henrique 11. Neto Oliveira 19. Rafael 2. Ronaldo 8. Ze Mateus
Substitutes
25. Cunha V. M. 10. Davi 19. Jhonatan Marino 16. Kevin 15. Lekinho 17. Lucas Tavares 1. Rafael Mallmann (G) 7. Rodriguinho 22. Talles 18. Wesley Dias
12. Allan Camilatto (G) 99. Anderson Mello 9. Brandao 16. Giovaneli Y. R. 17. Gregorio P. 10. Gui Mendes 5. Inacio 13. Iverson 6. Joao Paulo 3. Matheus Mega 18. Ribeiro E. 30. Thainler
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Yan de Jesus 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ronaldo ↓, Thainler ↑,
46', Carlinhos ↓, Gregorio P. ↑,
52', 0 - 1, Breninho ⚽,
59', Yan de Jesus ↓, Lekinho ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Tiago Moura ⚽,
67', David Lopes ↓, Gui Mendes ↑,
72', Breninho 🟨,
76', Gui Mendes 🟨,
78', Ruan ↓, Davi ↑,
79', Rafael 🟨,
80', Gregorio P. 🟨,
84', Neto Oliveira ↓, Joao Paulo ↑,
90', Rafael ↓, Brandao ↑,
90+2', Tiago Moura ↓, Kevin ↑,
90+2', Bahia ↓, Jhonatan Marino ↑,
90+4', Joao Paulo 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferroviaria won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Ferroviaria won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.5:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Ferroviaria won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 1.8:0.7).
Watch
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Pedro Zanette (G) 
Davi 
Gregorio P. 
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