Match Info

Capixaba - Round 2

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday

Location: Estádio Municipal Roberto Siqueira Costa (Serra)


	Serra		Desportiva Ferroviaria

	1	X	2
	2.78	2.88	2.45
	2.95	2.59	2.71	Watch
	2.5	3	2.6
	2.71	2.72	2.66
	3.1	3.1	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↓ (3.94)	2.86 ↓ (3.33)	2.52 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Serra
32.3%

Draw
31.7%

Desportiva Ferroviaria
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.2%

27.5%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Serra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Serra's performance.

Desportiva Ferroviaria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Desportiva Ferroviaria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Serra - Desportiva Ferroviaria Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Serra will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Ferroviaria will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Serra (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pedro Henrique (G) 6. Conrado 10. Dandan 8. Fabio Magrao 9. Patrick (C) 7. Pepeu 4. Rossales 3. Ruan Lopes 5. Walney 15. Yuri	1. Pedro Zanette (G) 9. Gilberto 2. Jairo 3. Janelson 13. Mariano (C) 10. Robert 5. Ruan 20. Tiago Moura 4. Vinicius Leandro 6. Wilian Simoes 11. Yan de Jesus
Substitutes
22. Brizuela O. 20. Bruno Paixao 25. Chico 12. Dudu 14. Edson Mika 21. Gean Miller 19. Hygor 13. Jherlison 16. Marco Damasceno 11. Marcudinho 2. Marcus Diniz 18. Rickelmi 17. Wendel	8. Alex Galo 19. Jhonatan Marino 14. Jorge Mendes 16. Kevin 17. Lucas Tavares 15. Lyncon 12. Rafael Mallmann (G) 7. Rodriguinho 22. Talles 18. Wesley Dias

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', Wilian Simoes 🟥,
42', 1 - 0, Patrick (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Robert ↓, Jhonatan Marino ↑,
56', 2 - 0, Pepeu ⚽,
60', 3 - 0, Patrick ⚽,
66', Ruan 🟨,
71', Ruan 🟨,
90', 🟨,

Preview

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Serra won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Serra won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Serra FC
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
13.01.26	Rio Branco AC ES - Serra	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Capixaba 2
11.10.25	Serra - Forte Rio Bananal	1:0 ✺
03.10.25	Serra - Linhares	3:2 ✺
27.09.25	Linhares - Serra	0:0 ✺
12.09.25	Serra - Linhares	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWWTW
- Desportiva Ferroviaria
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
13.01.26	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Rio Branco-VN	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
23.12.25	Tombense - Desportiva Ferroviaria	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
29.07.25	Porto Vitória - Desportiva Ferroviaria	3:1 penalties ✺
22.07.25	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Porto Vitória	1:0 ✺
13.07.25	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Rio Branco-VN	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
16.05.25	Serra - Desportiva Ferroviaria	0:2
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
19.01.24	Serra - Desportiva Ferroviaria	0:1
24.02.23	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Serra	0:2
12.02.22	Serra - Desportiva Ferroviaria	1:1
07.03.20	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Serra	2:0

Serra - Desportiva Ferroviaria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide