The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Desportivo Brasil U20 19.5%
Draw 25.2%
São Paulo U20 55.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
22.4%
25.2%
52.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.8%
24.5%
53.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Desportivo Brasil U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
São Paulo U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desportivo Brasil U20 than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo U20 than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Desportivo Brasil U20 - São Paulo U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
45+2', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45+5', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 0 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
First leg.
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Paulista U20 Playoffs - 1/16 - finals and 2nd in the Promotion - Paulista U20 Playoffs - 1/16 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, D Brasil U20 won 0.
D Brasil U20 has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
São Paulo U20 is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
São Paulo U20 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, São Paulo U20 has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
São Paulo U20 carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, D Brasil U20 has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:17 (averaging 1.2:2.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for D Brasil U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 4:4 goals (averaging 1.3:1.3 per game).