Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 16

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Manuel Lima (Moncao)


	Desportivo Monção		Camacha

	1	X	2
	4.05	3.1	1.82
	4.42	3.21	1.75
	4.3	3.29	1.8	Watch
	4.2	2.9	1.83
	4.39	3.22	1.78
	4.5	3.14	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.31 ↑ (2.73)	3.14 ↓ (3.16)	1.79 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Desportivo Monção
20.9%

Draw
28.7%

Camacha
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

28.6%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

28.6%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Desportivo Monção has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Desportivo Monção's form might have worsened.

Camacha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Camacha's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desportivo Monção than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Desportivo Monção, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camacha than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Camacha, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Desportivo Monção - Camacha Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 1 - 1, ⚽,
87', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Recent form of Desportivo Monção has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Camacha's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Desportivo Monção may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Camacha has had a series of away games.

Camacha is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Desportivo Monção won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desportivo Monção
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
18.01.26	Machico - Desportivo Monção	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Desportivo Monção - Brito	0:2 ✺
21.12.25	Desportivo Monção - São Martinho	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Vianense - Desportivo Monção	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Desportivo Monção - Tirsense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLLTT
- AD Camacha
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
17.01.26	Camacha - Mirandela	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Ribeira Brava - Camacha	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Celoricense - Camacha	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Bragança - Camacha	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Machico - Camacha	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
24.08.25	Camacha - Desportivo Monção	4:0

Desportivo Monção - Camacha: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide