Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 11

Date: 11 December 2022, Sunday


	Desportivo Monção		Merelinense

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.4	1.9
	3.85	3.05	1.85
	3.4	3.3	1.95
	3.99	3.31	1.93
	3.5	3.2	1.95
	3.6	3.52	1.86
	3.45	3.4	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↑ (2.86)	3.31 ↑ (3.14)	1.92 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Desportivo Monção
25.3%

Draw
27.4%

Merelinense
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

28.7%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

28.8%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Desportivo Monção has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Desportivo Monção's form might have worsened.

Merelinense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Merelinense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desportivo Monção than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Desportivo Monção, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merelinense than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Merelinense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Desportivo Monção - Merelinense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 9 in the zone Relegation).

Desportivo Monção is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Merelinense is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Merelinense will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desportivo Monção
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
04.12.22	Brito - Desportivo Monção	2:0 ✺
27.11.22	Desportivo Monção - Juventude de Pedras Salgadas	1:0 ✺
20.11.22	São Martinho - Desportivo Monção	3:1 ✺
13.11.22	Desportivo Monção - Amarante	1:1 ✺
06.11.22	Vila Meã - Desportivo Monção	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWLTL
- Merelinense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
04.12.22	Juventude de Pedras Salgadas - Merelinense	3:1 ✺
27.11.22	Merelinense - Amarante	1:1 ✺
20.11.22	Bragança - Merelinense	2:2 ✺
13.11.22	Merelinense - Dumiense	2:1 ✺
05.11.22	Pevidem - Merelinense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LTTWT

Desportivo Monção - Merelinense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide