Match Info

BELGIUM: National Division 1 - Round 33

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Armand Melis Stadium (Dessel)


	Dessel Sport		ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.6	2.85
	2.1	3.7	3.01
	2.07	3.73	3.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.86)	3.68 ↓ (4.08)	2.96 ↓ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dessel Sport
44.2%

Draw
24.9%

ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

22.7%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

22.2%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dessel Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dessel Sport's form might have worsened.

ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dessel Sport than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dessel Sport, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne than the current prediction. (-4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
9', 0 - 1, Walbrecq L. ⚽,
15', 0 - 2, Rousseau L. ⚽,
23', 0 - 3, Walbrecq L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
74', 0 - 4, Walbrecq L. ⚽,
85', Ndedi Kegne K. J. 🟥,
87', 1 - 4, Vandermissen Y. ⚽,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 11).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Dessel will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Dessel won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Dessel won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dessel Sport
Belgian National Division 1
27.04.24	Dessel Sport - Sint-Eloois-Winkel Sport	1:1 ✺
21.04.24	Namur - Dessel Sport	4:0 ✺
13.04.24	Gent B - Dessel Sport	2:2 ✺
06.04.24	Dessel Sport - Thes Sport	5:1 ✺
23.03.24	Heist - Dessel Sport	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TLTWW
- ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
Belgian National Division 1
27.04.24	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - RAAL La Louvière	1:0 ✺
20.04.24	Charleroi B - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	3:1 ✺
13.04.24	Heist - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	2:2 ✺
23.03.24	Lokeren - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	2:1 ✺
20.03.24	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Namur	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian National Division 1
30.09.23	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Dessel Sport	2:1
16.10.21	Dessel Sport - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	1:1
08.02.20	Dessel Sport - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	2:1
14.09.19	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Dessel Sport	2:1

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