Match Info

BELGIUM: National Division 1 - Round 30

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday


	Heist		ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	2.75
				Watch
	2.13	3.83	2.88
	2.13	3.83	2.88
	2.19	3.6	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.92)	3.69 ↑ (3.65)	2.85 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heist
42.9%

Draw
24.9%

ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

25.4%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

24.6%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heist has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Heist's form might have worsened.

ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heist than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Heist, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, Medfai M. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Colman J. ⚽,
39', 1 - 2, Paulet S. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
76', 2 - 2, Colman J. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 9).

Two teams are playing changeable.

ROCCM could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Heist will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Heist won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Heist won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KSK Heist
Belgian National Division 1
07.04.24	Sint-Eloois-Winkel Sport - Heist	2:0 ✺
23.03.24	Heist - Dessel Sport	1:3 ✺
20.03.24	Heist - Tienen	2:2 ✺
16.03.24	RAAL La Louvière - Heist	1:2 ✺
09.03.24	Thes Sport - Heist	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 LLTWW
- ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
Belgian National Division 1
23.03.24	Lokeren - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	2:1 ✺
20.03.24	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Namur	5:1 ✺
16.03.24	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Thes Sport	0:1 ✺
10.03.24	Royal Antwerp 2 - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Leuven B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian National Division 1
11.11.23	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Heist	3:2
06.04.22	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Heist	1:0
25.09.21	Heist - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	1:1
01.02.20	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Heist	2:3
16.11.19	Heist - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	4:0

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