Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 17

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Campo de Lasesarre (Barakaldo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Barakaldo		Pontevedra

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.9	3.3
	2.15	2.85	3.25
	2.25	2.88	3.35
	2.23	2.96	3.51
	2.29	2.84	3.57	Watch
	2.2	2.7	3.3
	2.22	2.81	3.42
	2.16	2.83	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.17)	2.85 ↓ (3.03)	3.39 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barakaldo
41.2%

Draw
31.9%

Pontevedra
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

30%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

30.9%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Pontevedra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Barakaldo - Pontevedra Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Campos G. (G) 18. Arana M. 2. de Jesus B. 4. Dufur U. 8. Huidobro J. 16. Lopez O. 20. Mandiang S. 6. Naveira U. 11. Perez E. 10. Sabin 9. Valino A.	1. Sousa E. (G) 4. Bosch M. 22. Comparada Gonzalez A. 11. Cuesta M. 2. Eimil V. 7. Gonzalez A. (C) 23. Montoro A. 10. Pino Y. 14. Resende J. 6. Ribeiro A. 24. Rodriguez T.
Substitutes
23. Albizua U. 17. de Leon J. 19. Galarza A. 3. Garcia B. 1. Ispizua I. (G) 15. Jimenez I. 5. Molina E. 14. Munoz I. 7. Pedernales I. 24. Ropero I. 21. San Bartolome V. 22. Torra M.	5. Conesa N. 20. Denia M. 3. Exposito A. 19. Garay B. 17. Macias L. 13. Marqueta R. (G) 32. Mendez I. 33. Outeirino I. 9. Selma D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Comparada Gonzalez A. ⚽,
45+1', Huidobro J. 🟨,
45+4', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Eimil V. ↓, Exposito A. ↑,
56', 🟨,
62', Mandiang S. ↓, de Leon J. ↑,
62', Huidobro J. ↓, Galarza A. ↑,
62', Valino A. ↓, San Bartolome V. ↑,
64', Arana M. 🟨,
66', 🟨,
74', Dufur U. 🟨,
80', Lopez O. ↓, Molina E. ↑,
80', Sabin ↓, Albizua U. ↑,
84', Bosch M. 🟨,
90+4', Gonzalez A. ↓, Garay B. ↑,
90+5', 🟨,
90+7', Naveira U. 🟨,
90+8', Macias L. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 6).

Barakaldo is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pontevedra has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Barakaldo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Barakaldo could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barakaldo CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
13.12.25	Ourense CF - Barakaldo	2:2 ✺
07.12.25	Barakaldo - Real Avilés	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Real Madrid Castilla - Barakaldo	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Barakaldo - Ferrol	2:1 ✺
15.11.25	Osasuna B - Barakaldo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLLWL
- Pontevedra CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.12.25	Pontevedra - Arenas Club de Getxo	2:0 ✺
06.12.25	Celta de Vigo B - Pontevedra	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Pontevedra - Eibar	0:3 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
29.11.25	Pontevedra - CD Guadalajara	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Lugo - Pontevedra	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLTL

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