Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 July 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Podgorica City Stadium (Podgorica) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Barcelo J. L. (Gib)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Georgia	23:00	Adjara TV


	Dečić Tuzi		Dinamo Batumi

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.4	1.75	Watch
	4.33	3.5	1.73
	4.5	3.6	1.75
	4.52	3.66	1.81
	4.39	3.67	1.77
	4.44	3.49	1.79	Watch
	4.6	3.6	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.44 ↑ (2.79)	3.56 ↓ (3.61)	1.77 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dečić Tuzi
21%

Draw
26.2%

Dinamo Batumi
52.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33%

25.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

25.7%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dečić Tuzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dečić Tuzi's form might have worsened.

Dinamo Batumi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dinamo Batumi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dečić Tuzi than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dečić Tuzi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Batumi than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dinamo Batumi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.7%	10.3%	69%

Dečić Tuzi - Dinamo Batumi Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Dečić will win (votes: 6 - 20.7%). Dinamo Batumi will win (votes: 20 - 69%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dinamo Batumi: 52.2% – 85.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nikic I. (G) 22. Dresaj J. (C) 4. Milic S. 5. Tomasevic Z. 6. Malesevic L. 20. Sekulovic P. 10. Kajevic A. 8. Chagas C. 77. Strikovic V. 9. Camaj I. 11. Puleio I.	16. Silva R. (G) 2. Mali N. 23. Kobakhidze M. (C) 14. Kharabadze L. 25. Wanderson 17. Mamuchashvili V. 5. Alef Santos 29. Jean Victor 27. Gudushauri P. 11. Blesa J. 7. Gomis H.
Substitutes
55. Asovic A. 14. Bajovic A. 16. Bozanovic M. 7. Bozovic D. 3. Gjelaj R. 15. Ljuljdjuraj P. 18. Maras L. 12. Masovic A. 33. Stijepovic O. 17. Ujkaj L. 13. Velimirovic P. (G)	35. Chiteishvili R. 22. Inaishvili D. 31. Injgia R. 13. Kharatishvili L. (G) 19. Mara U. 9. Mujiri D. 40. Pachulia D. 21. Tambedou B. 1. Turmanidze M. (G)
Coaches
Pekovic M.	Demchenko A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Malesevic L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Jean Victor ↓, Mara U. ↑,
65', Gomis H. ↓, Tambedou B. ↑,
66', Kajevic A. ↓, Bozanovic M. ↑,
74', Strikovic V. ↓, Stijepovic O. ↑,
82', Sekulovic P. ↓, Bozovic D. ↑,
82', Camaj I. ↓, Masovic A. ↑,
88', Alef Santos ↓, Pachulia D. ↑,

Preview

2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Podgorica City Stadium. 1st leg result: 2-0.

Dečić is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Dinamo Batumi is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Dečić have a series of guest games.

Recently Dinamo Batumi have a series of home games.

In this match Dinamo Batumi is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Dečić won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Dečić Tuzi
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.24	Dinamo Batumi - Dečić Tuzi	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
16.07.24	Dečić Tuzi - The New Saints	1:1 ✺
09.07.24	The New Saints - Dečić Tuzi	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.06.24	Vojvodina - Dečić Tuzi	2:0 ✺
26.06.24	Spartak Subotica - Dečić Tuzi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTLLL
- Dinamo Batumi
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.24	Dinamo Batumi - Dečić Tuzi	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
17.07.24	Dinamo Batumi - Ludogorets Razgrad	1:0 ✺
10.07.24	Ludogorets Razgrad - Dinamo Batumi	3:1 ✺
Georgian Super Cup
03.07.24	Dinamo Batumi - Iberia 1999	3:2 ✺
28.06.24	Dinamo Batumi - Torpedo Kutaisi	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.24	Dinamo Batumi - Dečić Tuzi	0:2

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