Match Info

NB I. - Round 33

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: DVTK Stadion (Miskolc)

Referee: Berke B. (Hun)


	Diósgyőri		Paksi SE

	1	X	2
	5	5	1.48
	4.95	4.85	1.47
	5.43	4.9	1.44
	5.07	4.69	1.52
	5	4.5	1.44
	5.26	4.75	1.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.12 ↑ (4.48)	4.78 ↑ (4.41)	1.46 ↓ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diósgyőri
18%

Draw
19.2%

Paksi SE
62.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

20.9%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

20.1%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diósgyőri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Paksi SE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diósgyőri than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	12.5%	87.5%

Diósgyőri - Paksi SE Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Paks (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Paksi SE will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Banhegyi B. (G) 85. Szakos B. 23. Peto M. 93. Tamas M. 6. Bardos B. 82. Kiss B. 69. Kovalenko N. 16. Komlosi B. 25. Holdampf G. (C) 17. Macso M. 9. Sajban M.	28. Gyetvan M. (G) 14. Silye E. 12. Vas G. 3. Alaxai A. 5. Vecsei B. 20. Zeke M. 17. Hinora K. 21. Papp K. (C) 18. Gyurkits G. 29. Toth B. 9. Hahn J.
Substitutes
74. Babos B. 22. Bokros S. 11. Colley L. 15. Croizet Y. 80. Farkas R. 21. Galantai T. 5. Kecskes A. 83. Kiss L. 4. Lund M. 31. Megyeri G. (G) 3. Szatmari C. 68. Varga Zeteny I.	7. Adam M. 11. Bevardi Z. 13. Bode D. 27. Galambos J. 1. Kovacsik A. (G) 23. Mate C. 16. Pesti Z. 25. Simon B. (G) 15. Szendrei A. 22. Windecker J.
Coaches
Takacs P.	Bognar G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
1', 0 - 1, Hahn J. ⚽, Zeke M. (A),
5', Kiss B. 🟨,
18', 0 - 2, Gyurkits G. ⚽,
30', Holdampf G. 🟨,
31', 0 - 3, Hahn J. ⚽,
43', Hahn J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Komlosi B. ↓, Szatmari C. ↑,
46', Kiss B. ↓, Bokros S. ↑,
58', Kovalenko N. ↓, Galantai T. ↑,
62', Tamas M. 🟨,
63', Toth B. 🟨,
65', Papp K. ↓, Bode D. ↑,
66', Vecsei B. ↓, Bevardi Z. ↑,
66', Hahn J. ↓, Adam M. ↑,
68', Sajban M. ↓, Colley L. ↑,
82', Macso M. ↓, Kiss L. ↑,
82', Hinora K. ↓, Szendrei A. ↑,
90', Gyurkits G. ↓, Mate C. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 3, Galantai T. ⚽,

Preview

Diósgyőri is Relegated to NB II.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Diósgyőri won 4.

Diósgyőri has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Paks has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Paks is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Diósgyőri won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 34:32. (average 1.7:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Diósgyőri won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.2:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Paks	8	3	2	3	16:17	-1	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Diósgyőri VTK
Hungarian NB I
02.05.26	Győri ETO - Diósgyőri	4:0 ✺
25.04.26	Kisvárda - Diósgyőri	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Diósgyőri - Debreceni	0:5 ✺
10.04.26	Ferencvárosi - Diósgyőri	3:1 ✺
05.04.26	Diósgyőri - Puskás Academy	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLLL
- Paksi SE
Hungarian NB I
03.05.26	Paksi SE - Debreceni	5:2 ✺
26.04.26	Ferencvárosi - Paksi SE	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Paksi SE - Puskás Academy	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Nyíregyháza Spartacus - Paksi SE	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Paksi SE - Kazincbarcikai	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB I
14.02.26	Paksi SE - Diósgyőri	1:2
Hungarian Cup
11.02.26	Paksi SE - Diósgyőri	2:6
Hungarian NB I
25.10.25	Diósgyőri - Paksi SE	2:1
08.03.25	Diósgyőri - Paksi SE	0:2
03.11.24	Paksi SE - Diósgyőri	3:4
28.07.24	Diósgyőri - Paksi SE	2:2
16.03.24	Diósgyőri - Paksi SE	2:1

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