Match Info

NB I. - Round 28

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Fehérvári úti stadion (Paks)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	M4 Sport


	Paksi SE		Kazincbarcikai

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.2	6.25
	1.41	4.75	5.7
	1.45	4.98	7.12
	1.47	4.65	5.9	Watch
	1.4	4.5	6
	1.4	4.7	7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.32)	4.63 ↓ (5.47)	6.33 ↓ (7.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paksi SE
65.4%

Draw
20%

Kazincbarcikai
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.9%

17.1%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

12.4%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paksi SE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paksi SE's form might have worsened.

Kazincbarcikai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paksi SE that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kazincbarcikai than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Paksi SE - Kazincbarcikai Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Paks will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Kazincbarcikai will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Gyetvan M. (G) 11. Bevardi Z. 26. Szekszardi M. 12. Vas G. 30. Szabo J. (C) 14. Silye E. 18. Gyurkits G. 8. Balogh B. 21. Papp K. 29. Toth B. 15. Szendrei A.	99. Juhasz I. (G) 17. Nyiri V. 5. Racz L. 14. Rasheed S. A. 4. Nagy Z. 18. Schuszter R. 23. Meskhi M. 6. Szoke G. 91. Ferenczi J. 10. Kartik B. (C) 12. Ikoba E.
Substitutes
7. Adam M. 3. Alaxai A. 13. Bode D. 9. Hahn J. 17. Hinora K. 19. Horvath K. 1. Kovacsik A. (G) 23. Mate C. 6. Tamas O. 5. Vecsei B. 20. Zeke M.	25. Baranyai N. 8. Berecz Z. 1. Gyollai D. (G) 96. Klausz M. 89. Kocsis B. (G) 42. Konyves N. 15. Major M. 13. Polgar K. 27. Pukhtyeyev M. 22. Sebok P. 9. Smajlagic S. 88. Trencsenyi B.
Coaches
Bognar G.	Kuttor A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Szendrei A. ⚽,
21', Balogh B. 🟨,
43', Szoke G. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
46', Schuszter R. ↓, Pukhtyeyev M. ↑,
46', Szoke G. ↓, Berecz Z. ↑,
48', Berecz Z. ↓, Klausz M. ↑,
61', Pukhtyeyev M. 🟨,
61', Toth B. ↓, Bode D. ↑,
61', Bevardi Z. ↓, Adam M. ↑,
64', Kartik B. 🟨,
65', 2 - 0, Szendrei A. ⚽, Silye E. (A),
67', Gyurkits G. 🟨,
73', Ikoba E. ↓, Konyves N. ↑,
74', Racz L. 🟨,
75', Gyurkits G. ↓, Horvath K. ↑,
75', Nyiri V. ↓, Baranyai N. ↑,
76', Silye E. ↓, Zeke M. ↑,
79', 2 - 1, Pukhtyeyev M. ⚽, Klausz M. (A),
82', 3 - 1, Bode D. ⚽, Balogh B. (A),
85', Szendrei A. ↓, Vecsei B. ↑,
89', 4 - 1, Bode D. ⚽, Adam M. (A),
90+4', Juhasz I. 🟨,
90+5', 5 - 1, Adam M. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Recent performances by Paks have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kazincbarcikai has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kazincbarcikai may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Paks is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Paks won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 2:0).

Including home match between the teams, Paks won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Paks	8	3	2	3	16:17	-1	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paksi SE
Hungarian NB I
20.03.26	MTK Budapest - Paksi SE	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Paksi SE - Zalaegerszegi TE	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Ujpest - Paksi SE	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	Kisvárda - Paksi SE	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Paksi SE - Győri ETO	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WTTLL
- Kazincbarcikai
Hungarian NB I
22.03.26	Kazincbarcikai - Győri ETO	1:3 ✺
13.03.26	Diósgyőri - Kazincbarcikai	0:4 ✺
08.03.26	Kazincbarcikai - Debreceni	0:3 ✺
Hungarian Cup
04.03.26	Kazincbarcikai - Ferencvárosi	0:5 ✺
Hungarian NB I
01.03.26	Ferencvárosi - Kazincbarcikai	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB I
14.12.25	Kazincbarcikai - Paksi SE	0:2
29.08.25	Paksi SE - Kazincbarcikai	3:0
Hungarian Cup
01.03.22	Kazincbarcikai - Paksi SE	0:1

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