Match Info

NB I. - Round 12

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: DVTK Stadion (Miskolc)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	M4 Sport


	Diósgyőri		Ujpest

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.5	2.15
	2.78	3.55	2.25
	2.76	3.54	2.2	Watch
	2.86	3.5	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↓ (3.1)	3.52 ↓ (3.8)	2.21 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diósgyőri
32.6%

Draw
25.9%

Ujpest
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

24.3%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

23.4%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diósgyőri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Ujpest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diósgyőri than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ujpest than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ujpest could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Diósgyőri - Ujpest Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Diósgyőri will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Ujpest will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Sentic K. (G) 11. Gera D. (C) 3. Szatmari C. 6. Bardos B. 22. Bokros S. 19. Keita A. 15. Croizet Y. 9. Sajban M. 88. Mucsanyi M. 7. Acolatse E. 10. Jurek G.	23. Banai D. (G) 6. Rasak D. 30. Nunes J. 18. Lacoux T. 15. Goncalves T. 88. Ljujic M. 7. Beridze G. 17. Matko A. 45. Medeiros I. 11. Horvath K. 74. Kaczvinszki D.
Substitutes
21. Babos B. 20. Benyei A. 70. Demeter M. 5. Kecskes A. 16. Komlosi B. 4. Lund M. 17. Macso M. 31. Megyeri G. (G) 47. Mucsanyi M. 24. Roguljic A. 93. Tamas M. 50. Vallejo A.	8. Ademi A. 33. Bese B. 31. Dombo D. (G) 32. Ganea G. 26. Geiger B. 5. Kobouri D. 10. Tajti M. 34. Tucic M. 39. Vlijter G.
Coaches
Radenkovic V.	Krznar D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
23', 1 - 0, Acolatse E. (Pen),
36', 1 - 1, Bokros S. (Own goal),
42', 1 - 2, Horvath K. ⚽,
45+4', Horvath K. 🟨,
45+8', Bese B. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Szatmari C. ↓, Lund M. ↑,
47', Jurek G. 🟨,
49', Keita A. 🟨,
51', Medeiros I. 🟨,
51', Acolatse E. 🟨,
55', Keita A. ↓, Komlosi B. ↑,
55', Acolatse E. ↓, Babos B. ↑,
61', Mucsanyi M. ↓, Roguljic A. ↑,
67', Lacoux T. 🟨,
76', Beridze G. ↓, Geiger B. ↑,
76', Bokros S. ↓, Mucsanyi M. ↑,
83', 1 - 3, Matko A. ⚽, Lacoux T. (A),
87', Matko A. ↓, Tucic M. ↑,
88', Medeiros I. ↓, Ademi A. ↑,
90+2', Horvath K. ↓, Kobouri D. ↑,
90+3', Rasak D. ↓, Ganea G. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 11 in the zone Relegation ~ NB II.).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Diósgyőri won 0.

Diósgyőri has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ujpest is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Diósgyőri won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 15:33. (average 0.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Diósgyőri won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Diósgyőri VTK
Hungarian Cup
28.10.25	Diósgyőri - Szeged 2011	2:0 ✺
Hungarian NB I
25.10.25	Diósgyőri - Paksi SE	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Győri ETO - Diósgyőri	3:1 ✺
05.10.25	Kisvárda - Diósgyőri	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Diósgyőri - Debreceni	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLLT
- Ujpest FC
Hungarian NB I
26.10.25	Debreceni - Ujpest	5:2 ✺
19.10.25	Ujpest - Ferencvárosi	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Puskás Academy - Ujpest	0:0 ✺
26.09.25	Ujpest - Nyíregyháza Spartacus	2:2 ✺
20.09.25	Kazincbarcikai - Ujpest	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB I
25.07.25	Ujpest - Diósgyőri	3:1
26.04.25	Ujpest - Diósgyőri	1:1
01.02.25	Diósgyőri - Ujpest	1:1
21.09.24	Ujpest - Diósgyőri	0:0
04.05.24	Ujpest - Diósgyőri	7:0
11.02.24	Diósgyőri - Ujpest	1:2
07.10.23	Ujpest - Diósgyőri	2:0

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