Match Info

Premier League - Round 22

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday


	Diamond Stars		Luawa

	1	X	2
	2.21	2.96	3.31	Watch
	2.2	2.88	3.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.2)	2.92 ↓ (2.94)	3.33 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diamond Stars
41.4%

Draw
31.2%

Luawa
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

31.1%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

29.8%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diamond Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Luawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diamond Stars than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luawa than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Diamond Stars - Luawa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 0)

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Diamond Stars has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Luawa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Luawa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Diamond Stars could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Diamond Stars won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Diamond Stars won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Diamond Stars	33	10	9	14	31:37	-6	39
17	Luawa ✔	33	8	9	16	22:41	-19	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Diamond Stars
Sierra Leone Premier League
23.03.26	Ports Authority - Diamond Stars	1:0 ✺
18.03.26	Diamond Stars - Wilberforce Strikers	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Star Sport Academy - Diamond Stars	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Diamond Stars - Old Edwardians	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Diamond Stars - Bai Bureh Warriors	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LTLLW
- Luawa FC
Sierra Leone Premier League
18.03.26	Wusum Stars - Luawa	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Luawa - Freetown City	0:1 ✺
05.03.26	Luawa - Ports Authority	1:3 ✺
28.02.26	Luawa - Wilberforce Strikers	1:1 ✺
20.02.26	Star Sport Academy - Luawa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Sierra Leone Premier League
07.12.25	Luawa - Diamond Stars	1:2
18.05.25	Luawa - Diamond Stars	0:0
01.01.23	Diamond Stars - Luawa	0:0

Diamond Stars - Luawa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide