Match Info

Premiere Division - Round 20

Date: 6 May 2025, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Diarra		Étoiles du Mandé

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	2.95
	1.93	3.1	3.85
	1.89	3.06	3.77
	1.93	3.18	3.92	Watch
	1.84	3.14	4.23	Watch
	1.93	3.1	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.23)	3.1 ↑ (3.05)	3.76 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diarra
46.5%

Draw
29.3%

Étoiles du Mandé
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

29.9%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

28.4%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diarra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Diarra's performance.

Étoiles du Mandé has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diarra than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Étoiles du Mandé than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Diarra - Étoiles du Mandé Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Diarra has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Étoiles du Mandé is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Étoiles du Mandé may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Diarra is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Diarra won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Diarra
Malian Première Division
29.04.25	Afrique Football Elite - Diarra	1:2 ✺
19.04.25	Diarra - Real Bamako	0:1 ✺
06.04.25	AS Police de Bamako - Diarra	4:1 ✺
27.03.25	Diarra - Korofina	0:0 ✺
18.03.25	Binga - Diarra	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLLTW
- Étoiles du Mandé
Malian Première Division
28.04.25	Étoiles du Mandé - Bougouba	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	Onze Créateurs - Étoiles du Mandé	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Étoiles du Mandé - Stade Malien	0:4 ✺
01.04.25	USFAS Bamako - Étoiles du Mandé	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	Djoliba - Étoiles du Mandé	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Malian Première Division
11.01.25	Étoiles du Mandé - Diarra	0:0

Diarra - Étoiles du Mandé: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide