Match Info

Premiere Division - Round 10

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday


	Diarra		Afrique Football Elite

	1	X	2
	2.82	2.82	2.48	Watch
	3.11	2.78	2.46	Watch
	2.9	2.8	2.3
	2.95	3.08	2.46	Watch
	3	2.83	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.57)	2.86 ↑ (2.82)	2.41 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diarra
30.7%

Draw
31.7%

Afrique Football Elite
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

32.6%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

32.3%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diarra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Diarra's form might have worsened.

Afrique Football Elite has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Afrique Football Elite's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diarra than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Diarra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Afrique Football Elite than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Afrique Football Elite, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Diarra - Afrique Football Elite Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 9).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Diarra won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Diarra won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Diarra	26	13	5	8	32:24	8	44
11	Foot Elite	26	7	6	13	23:38	-15	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Diarra
Malian Première Division
15.01.26	Korofina - Diarra	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	Diarra - Real Bamako	0:2 ✺
02.01.26	Derby Académie - Diarra	1:1 ✺
27.12.25	Binga - Diarra	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Diarra - Bakaridjan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLTTW
- Afrique Football Elite
Malian Première Division
15.01.26	Afrique Football Elite - Binga	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Bakaridjan - Afrique Football Elite	1:1 ✺
03.01.26	Afrique Football Elite - USFAS Bamako	0:2 ✺
28.12.25	Mali Coura - Afrique Football Elite	1:3 ✺
19.12.25	Afrique Football Elite - Bougouni	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Malian Première Division
29.04.25	Afrique Football Elite - Diarra	1:2
06.01.25	Diarra - Afrique Football Elite	0:0

Diarra - Afrique Football Elite: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide