What is the expert prediction for USFAS Bamako vs Diarra?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for USFAS Bamako vs Diarra. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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USFAS Bamako vs Diarra Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, May 07, 2026)

Match Info

Coupe du Mali - Quarter-finals

Date: 7 May 2026, Thursday


	USFAS Bamako		Diarra

	1	X	2
	2.58	2.87	2.81
	2.5	2.8	2.8
	2.36	2.7	3.26
	2.36	2.62	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.6)	2.75 ↓ (2.85)	2.88 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

USFAS Bamako
36.5%

Draw
32.5%

Diarra
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

31.9%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

32%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USFAS Bamako has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Diarra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for USFAS Bamako than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diarra than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

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Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Diarra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, USFAS won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, USFAS won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USFAS Bamako
Malian Première Division
03.05.26	Korofina - USFAS Bamako	0:3 ✺
15.04.26	USFAS Bamako - Real Bamako	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Diarra - USFAS Bamako	1:2 ✺
18.03.26	USFAS Bamako - Binga	0:0 ✺
06.03.26	Bakaridjan - USFAS Bamako	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWWTL
- FC Diarra
Malian Première Division
03.05.26	Diarra - Binga	1:0 ✺
16.04.26	Bakaridjan - Diarra	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Diarra - USFAS Bamako	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Stade Malien - Diarra	2:0 ✺
18.03.26	Mali Coura - Diarra	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Malian Première Division
04.04.26	Diarra - USFAS Bamako	1:2
13.12.25	USFAS Bamako - Diarra	2:1
10.05.25	USFAS Bamako - Diarra	1:1
15.01.25	Diarra - USFAS Bamako	0:2