Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 31 July 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tengiz Burjanadze Stadium (Gori) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Aslam U. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Latvia	19:00	TV4


	Dila Gori		Riga

	1	X	2
	2.55	3	2.7	Watch
	3	3.25	2.15
	2.65	3.5	2.4	Watch
	2.5	3.51	2.58
	2.45	3.71	2.55	Watch
	3.3	3.2	2.1
	2.79	3.52	2.51	Watch
	2.8	3.4	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.7)	3.39 ↑ (3.27)	2.42 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dila Gori
33.9%

Draw
27.5%

Riga
38.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.1%

27.3%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

27.3%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dila Gori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dila Gori than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Riga than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	20%	70%

Dila Gori - Riga Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Dila will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Riga will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Riga: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH 0 - Riga (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Riga will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Riga (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kereselidze D. (G) 35. Chabradze G. 13. Joao Araujo 33. Etou R. (C) 5. Rukhadze Z. 11. Parulava O. 6. Andronikashvili A. 7. Konte A. 27. Edudzi C. 28. Bassinga D. 22. Shekiladze S.	1. Zviedris K. (G) 23. Tonisevs M. 21. Musah B. 3. Ngom M. 13. Jurkovskis R. 40. Ankrah A. 8. Iago Siqueira 4. Galo O. 20. Grimaldo J. 22. Diop M. 10. Reginaldo Ramires (C)
Substitutes
17. Anoff B. 20. Bughridze I. 9. Drame I. 34. Ilori T. 2. Kikabidze T. 15. Kobakhidze G. 3. Mendes P. 16. Metreveli A. (G) 18. Otinashvili L. 21. Ouattara A. 12. Sanikidze L. (G) 26. Tiboue J.	27. Birka E. 34. Cernomordijs A. 9. Contreras A. 44. Kazainis M. (G) 77. Mankenda G. 25. Muzinga N. 11. Pena B. 18. Regza M. 19. Taiwo A. 5. Wassom K. 12. Zommers K. (G)
Coaches
Longo D.	Gula A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Joao Araujo ⚽, Parulava O. (A),
27', Chabradze G. ↓, Kikabidze T. ↑,
43', Tonisevs M. 🟨,
45+6', Parulava O. 🟨,
45+7', 1 - 1, Reginaldo Ramires (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
51', 2 - 1, Bassinga D. ⚽,
53', Rukhadze Z. 🟨,
60', Musah B. 🟨,
64', 2 - 2, Musah B. ⚽, Grimaldo J. (A),
66', Reginaldo Ramires 🟨,
72', Shekiladze S. ↓, Anoff B. ↑,
80', Anoff B. 🟨,
81', 3 - 2, Anoff B. ⚽, Kikabidze T. (A),
88', Musah B. ↓, Cernomordijs A. ↑,
88', Reginaldo Ramires ↓, Regza M. ↑,
88', Grimaldo J. ↓, Birka E. ↑,
89', Andronikashvili A. 🟨,
90+3', Iago Siqueira 🟨,
90+4', Rukhadze Z. ↓, Ilori T. ↑,
90+6', 3 - 3, Cernomordijs A. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-2. 2nd leg.

Dila is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Riga is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Riga has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Dila won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dila Gori
Georgian Cup
27.07.25	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Dila Gori	0:1 penalties ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Riga - Dila Gori	2:1 ✺
17.07.25	Dila Gori - Racing Luxembourg	1:0 ✺
10.07.25	Racing Luxembourg - Dila Gori	1:2 ✺
Georgian Super Cup
02.07.25	Dila Gori - Spaeri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWWW
- Riga FC
Latvian Virsliga
27.07.25	Riga - Metta	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Riga - Dila Gori	2:1 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
19.07.25	Liepāja - Riga	2:3 ✺
Latvian Cup
12.07.25	Riga - Tukums 2000	4:0 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
06.07.25	Riga - BFC Daugavpils	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Riga - Dila Gori	2:1

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