Match Info
Virsliga - Round 5Date: 9 April 2026, ThursdayLocation: Skonto stadions (Riga)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
 Ukraine | Sport 1 |
 World | Onefootball, Sport 1 Baltic |
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Riga |
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Tukums 2000 |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Riga
79.5% | Draw
13.7% | Tukums 2000
6.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Riga's form might have worsened.Tukums 2000 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
1.  Zviedris K. (G)
13. Jurkovskis R.
34. Cernomordijs A. (C)
33.  Paulo Eduardo
17.  Salazar A.
40.  Ankrah A.
14. Varslavans R.
4.  Galo O.
8. Iago Siqueira
7.  Aouani R.
10. Reginaldo Ramires
| 97. Baturins I. (G)
28. Melkis R.
6. Volkovs K.
17.  Derkach M.
46.  Enyou A.
25. Joksts H.
10. Samoilovs B. (C)
4. Anmanis Kaspars
7.  Shibata S.
11. Leoni
19.  Oloko E.
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| Substitutes |
3. Abner
19.  Badamosi M.
27. Birka E.
70. Juan Christian
44. Kazainis M. (G)
91. Orols F. (G)
18.  Oulad M'Hand S.
11.  Pena B.
5.  Wassom K.
| 27. Deruzinskis R.
15. Kirss R.
16. Klavins K.
29. Koki Y.
35. Minajevs K. (G)
8. Reingolcs R.
88. Stals M.
5. Toba J.
21. Valmiers D.
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| Coaches |
 Gula A.
| Dislers K.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 15', Enyou A. 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 0, Paulo Eduardo ⚽,
- 33', Oloko E. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 1, Oloko E. ⚽,
- 45', 2 - 1, Varslavans R. ⚽, Salazar A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 52', 2 - 2, Oloko E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 59', Galo O. ↓, Badamosi M. ↑,
- 59', Derkach M. ↓, Valmiers D. ↑,
- 59', Melkis R. ↓, Reingolcs R. ↑,
- 67', Volkovs K. 🟨,
- 68', Leoni ↓, Deruzinskis R. ↑,
- 68', Samoilovs B. ↓, Toba J. ↑,
- 71', Varslavans R. ↓, Juan Christian ↑,
- 73', 3 - 2, Reginaldo Ramires ⚽, Juan Christian (A),
- 85', Shibata S. ↓, Kirss R. ↑,
- 85', Aouani R. ↓, Oulad M'Hand S. ↑,
- 87', 3 - 3, Oloko E. ⚽, Toba J. (A),
- 90+5', Anmanis Kaspars 🟨,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 9 in the zone Virsliga (Relegation)).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Riga won 4.Riga is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).Tukums 2000 has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).Recently, Riga has had a series of away games. In this match, Riga is the undisputed favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Riga won 18 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 64:8. (average 3.2:0.4).Including home matches between the teams, Riga won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 38:5. (average 3.8:0.5).
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Standings
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | Riga FC | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 25:9 | 16 | 16 |
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| 9 | Tukums 2000 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 4 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Riga - the odds 1.08 are the expected chance of winning is 85.68%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Latvian Virsliga | | | 24.10.25 | Riga - Tukums 2000 | 0:0 | | 03.08.25 | Tukums 2000 - Riga | 0:1 | | Latvian Cup | | | 12.07.25 | Riga - Tukums 2000 | 4:0 | | Latvian Virsliga | | | 31.05.25 | Riga - Tukums 2000 | 3:0 | | 13.04.25 | Tukums 2000 - Riga | 0:3 | | 27.10.24 | Riga - Tukums 2000 | 10:1 | | 04.08.24 | Tukums 2000 - Riga | 0:5 |
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