Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 July 2025, Thursday

Location: Skonto stadions (Riga)

Referee: Robertson D. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Sportacentrs TV, TV4


	Riga		Dila Gori

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.8	5	Watch
	1.62	3.7	4.75	Watch
	1.62	3.75	5	Watch
	1.63	3.85	5.09
	1.68	3.82	4.74	Watch
	1.5	4	5.8
	1.66	3.95	5.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.55)	3.84 ↓ (4.03)	5.08 ↓ (5.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Riga
57.5%

Draw
24.2%

Dila Gori
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

23.1%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

21.8%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Dila Gori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riga than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dila Gori than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.6%	17.4%	13%

Riga - Dila Gori Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Riga will win (votes: 16 - 69.6%). Dila will win (votes: 3 - 13%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Riga: 50.8% – 88.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Riga (votes: 4 - 50%). Dila (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Dila (4.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Riga (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.75 - Dila (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Riga (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Dila (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zviedris K. (G) 23. Tonisevs M. 21. Musah B. 3. Ngom M. 13. Jurkovskis R. 4. Galo O. 40. Ankrah A. 8. Iago Siqueira 22. Diop M. 10. Reginaldo Ramires (C) 20. Grimaldo J.	1. Kereselidze D. (G) 35. Chabradze G. 33. Etou R. (C) 13. Joao Araujo 5. Rukhadze Z. 9. Drame I. 6. Andronikashvili A. 7. Konte A. 28. Bassinga D. 22. Shekiladze S. 11. Parulava O.
Substitutes
27. Birka E. 34. Cernomordijs A. 9. Contreras A. 44. Kazainis M. (G) 77. Mankenda G. 25. Muzinga N. 11. Pena B. 18. Regza M. 19. Taiwo A. 5. Wassom K. 12. Zommers K. (G)	17. Anoff B. 20. Bughridze I. 27. Edudzi C. 34. Ilori T. 2. Kikabidze T. 15. Kobakhidze G. 21. Ouattara A. 12. Sanikidze L. (G) 26. Tiboue J.
Coaches
Gula A.	Longo D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Konte A. 🟨,
13', Jurkovskis R. 🟨,
44', Kereselidze D. 🟨,
45+4', Etou R. 🟨,
45+6', 1 - 0, Reginaldo Ramires ⚽, Galo O. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Drame I. ↓, Edudzi C. ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Iago Siqueira ⚽, Grimaldo J. (A),
70', Shekiladze S. ↓, Bughridze I. ↑,
70', Andronikashvili A. ↓, Ouattara A. ↑,
72', Reginaldo Ramires ↓, Taiwo A. ↑,
72', Grimaldo J. ↓, Mankenda G. ↑,
80', Parulava O. ↓, Anoff B. ↑,
82', Iago Siqueira ↓, Contreras A. ↑,
85', Rukhadze Z. ↓, Tiboue J. ↑,
86', Tonisevs M. 🟨,
86', 2 - 1, Bassinga D. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

Both teams have triumphed in their latest matches.

In this match, Riga is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Riga will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Riga FC
Latvian Virsliga
19.07.25	Liepāja - Riga	2:3 ✺
Latvian Cup
12.07.25	Riga - Tukums 2000	4:0 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
06.07.25	Riga - BFC Daugavpils	1:1 ✺
01.07.25	Riga - Jelgava	3:0 ✺
27.06.25	Auda Riga - Riga	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWTWW
- Dila Gori
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.07.25	Dila Gori - Racing Luxembourg	1:0 ✺
10.07.25	Racing Luxembourg - Dila Gori	1:2 ✺
Georgian Super Cup
02.07.25	Dila Gori - Spaeri	2:0 ✺
26.06.25	Iberia 1999 - Dila Gori	1:3 ✺
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
28.05.25	Dila Gori - Dinamo Tbilisi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWWW

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