Match Info

GEORGIA: Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga - Round 25

Date: 20 September 2024, Friday

Location: Tengiz Burjanadze Stadium (Gori)

Referee: Serkhadze I. (Geo)


	Dila Gori		Samtredia

	1	X	2
	1.19	5.75	11
	1.2	5.6	11	Watch
	1.21	5.7	11.71
	1.21	5.38	12.74	Watch
	1.15	5.5	13
	1.18	5.85	12.4
	1.2	5.6	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (2.02)	5.63 ↑ (3.1)	11.84 ↑ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dila Gori
76.2%

Draw
16.1%

Samtredia
7.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

29.2%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

28.9%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dila Gori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+31.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dila Gori's performance.

Samtredia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Samtredia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dila Gori than the current prediction. (-30.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dila Gori that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samtredia than the current prediction. (+18%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Samtredia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Dila Gori - Samtredia Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Dila will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Kavtaradze N. (G) 23. Lopes A. 17. Yitzhak O. 33. Etou R. (C) 26. Tiboue J. 8. Lominadze N. 6. Andronikashvili A. 21. Nobrega J. 10. Wouter T. 22. Shekiladze S. 7. Konte A.	25. Labadze A. (G) 17. Elbakidze L. 3. Gigashvili Z. 14. Leo Assunpcao 15. Kveladze G. 11. Nkoumba E. 22. Carrillo J. 18. Khmaladze L. (C) 40. Ubilava D. 21. Martin I. 6. Owusu D.
Substitutes
14. Amponsah D. 20. Bughridze I. 9. Drame I. 2. Gaprindashvili G. 11. Parulava O. 16. Puladze P. (G) 5. Rukhadze Z. 29. Sangare M. 27. Toure A.	38. Aknazarov M. 39. Andre d. S. R. 7. Ardazishvili R. 4. Chachua J. 30. Chitaishvili M. 33. Chkhaidze G. 36. Danelia R. 1. Megrelishvili T. (G) 10. Mello N.
Coaches
Castro F.	Kakashvili V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Owusu D. ⚽,
41', Nobrega J. ↓, Drame I. ↑,
43', Khmaladze L. ↓, Andre d. S. R. ↑,
45', 1 - 1, Andronikashvili A. (Pen),
45+1', 2 - 1, Wouter T. ⚽, Drame I. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Owusu D. ↓, Mello N. ↑,
58', Kveladze G. ↓, Chitaishvili M. ↑,
67', Lominadze N. ↓, Parulava O. ↑,
67', Wouter T. ↓, Bughridze I. ↑,
70', Nkoumba E. ↓, Ardazishvili R. ↑,
70', Gigashvili Z. ↓, Aknazarov M. ↑,
82', Shekiladze S. ↓, Amponsah D. ↑,
82', Konte A. ↓, Sangare M. ↑,
85', Mello N. 🟨,
88', 3 - 1, Sangare M. ⚽, Bughridze I. (A),
90+1', 3 - 2, Lopes A. (Own goal),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dila won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Dila is absolute favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Dila won 11 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 37-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Dila won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dila Gori
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
15.09.24	Dinamo Tbilisi - Dila Gori	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	Dila Gori - Iberia 1999	1:3 ✺
25.08.24	Torpedo Kutaisi - Dila Gori	1:5 ✺
17.08.24	Dila Gori - Telavi	1:1 ✺
11.08.24	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Dila Gori	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLWTW
- FC Samtredia
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
15.09.24	Samtredia - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	2:2 ✺
31.08.24	Dinamo Tbilisi - Samtredia	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Samtredia - Gagra	2:0 ✺
19.08.24	Iberia 1999 - Samtredia	3:1 ✺
10.08.24	Samtredia - Kolkheti Poti	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga
23.05.24	Samtredia - Dila Gori	0:0
07.04.24	Dila Gori - Samtredia	3:0
10.11.23	Samtredia - Dila Gori	1:2
02.09.23	Dila Gori - Samtredia	1:3
20.05.23	Samtredia - Dila Gori	1:2
01.04.23	Dila Gori - Samtredia	1:0
Club Friendly
30.01.23	Dila Gori - Samtredia	2:2

Dila Gori - Samtredia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide