Match Info

GEORGIA: Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga - Round 24

Date: 15 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium (Samtredia)


	Samtredia		Samgurali Tskhaltubo

	1	X	2
	4.4	3.7	1.61
	4.6	3.75	1.63	Watch
	4.77	3.74	1.68
	4.76	3.72	1.64	Watch
	4.2	3.6	1.67
	4.81	3.64	1.63
	4.6	3.75	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.59 ↓ (5)	3.7 ↑ (3.62)	1.64 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samtredia
19.8%

Draw
24.6%

Samgurali Tskhaltubo
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.5%

25.6%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18%

24.8%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samtredia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Samgurali Tskhaltubo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samtredia than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samgurali Tskhaltubo than the current prediction. (+2%)

Samtredia - Samgurali Tskhaltubo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Labadze A. (G) 17. Elbakidze L. 3. Gigashvili Z. 14. Leo Assunpcao 40. Ubilava D. (C) 8. Barrios E. 22. Carrillo J. 11. Nkoumba E. 21. Martin I. 9. Amoako J. 6. Owusu D.	13. Kalichava N. (G) 22. Kikabidze T. (C) 4. Patarkatsishvili O. 3. Abuladze M. 16. Bull 5. Janjgava I. 24. Khorkheli N. 8. de A. J. 11. Khorkheli L. 15. Gean Rodrigues 35. Kutalia L.
Substitutes
38. Aknazarov M. 39. Andre d. S. R. 4. Chachua J. 30. Chitaishvili M. 36. Danelia R. 18. Khmaladze L. 15. Kveladze G. 1. Megrelishvili T. (G) 10. Mello N.	7. Akhvlediani I. 18. Arveladze V. 10. Chikhladze D. 19. Kalandarishvili N. 23. Karimov M. 40. Kutaladze L. (G) 2. Markovina B. 9. Sherozia L. 37. Simdyankin N.
Coaches
Kakashvili V.	Ashvetia M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
9', Ubilava D. 🟨,
16', Martin I. 🟨,
26', Kikabidze T. 🟨,
26', Barrios E. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Martin I. ⚽, Ubilava D. (A),
33', Owusu D. 🟨,
42', Bull 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Khorkheli L. (Pen),
45+1', 1 - 2, Khorkheli N. ⚽,
45+1', Labadze A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', de A. J. ↓, Chikhladze D. ↑,
46', Bull ↓, Kalandarishvili N. ↑,
55', Elbakidze L. ↓, Kveladze G. ↑,
55', Gigashvili Z. ↓, Khmaladze L. ↑,
59', 2 - 2, Nkoumba E. ⚽, Kveladze G. (A),
68', Amoako J. ↓, Chitaishvili M. ↑,
68', Martin I. ↓, Mello N. ↑,
74', Janjgava I. ↓, Arveladze V. ↑,
74', Khorkheli N. ↓, Akhvlediani I. ↑,
81', Barrios E. ↓, Danelia R. ↑,
85', Gean Rodrigues ↓, Simdyankin N. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Samtredia won 2.

Samtredia is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Samgurali is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Samgurali could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Samgurali is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Samtredia won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 12-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Samtredia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Samtredia
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
31.08.24	Dinamo Tbilisi - Samtredia	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Samtredia - Gagra	2:0 ✺
19.08.24	Iberia 1999 - Samtredia	3:1 ✺
10.08.24	Samtredia - Kolkheti Poti	1:3 ✺
05.08.24	Torpedo Kutaisi - Samtredia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TWLLL
- Samgurali Tskhaltubo
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
01.09.24	Gagra - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	1:3 ✺
24.08.24	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Kolkheti Poti	3:0 ✺
18.08.24	Dinamo Batumi - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	0:0 ✺
11.08.24	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Dila Gori	0:1 ✺
03.08.24	Dinamo Tbilisi - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga
18.05.24	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Samtredia	4:0
03.04.24	Samtredia - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	2:0
02.12.23	Samtredia - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	2:3
28.09.23	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Samtredia	0:3
01.06.23	Samtredia - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	0:2
22.04.23	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Samtredia	2:1
07.11.21	Samtredia - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	1:2

Samtredia - Samgurali Tskhaltubo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide