The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Samtredia 44.6%
Draw 28.1%
Kolkheti Poti 27.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.2%
27.7%
28.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.6%
24.2%
32.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Samtredia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Kolkheti Poti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samtredia than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Samtredia that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kolkheti Poti than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Samtredia - Kolkheti Poti Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Lazarevs V. (G) 22. Mchedlishvili G. 29. Gigashvili Z. 19. Jangidze T. 15. Kveladze G. 31. Tsulaia L. 7. Mandzhgaladze G. (C) 40. Chikovani T. 32. Lopez B. 11. Odikadze T. 10. Cordero Gonzalez J.
25. Kopaliani S. (G) 2. Elbakidze L. 5. Kvirkvelia G. 3. Kharchilava S. 21. Paghava D. (C) 10. Kharebava G. 12. Oloko-Obi T. 8. Plyushch R. 7. Pachulia D. 11. Kapanadze N. 26. Metuk G.
Substitutes
35. Adeishvili A. 30. Akhalkatsi S. 27. Aleksidze T. 21. Baratelia R. 20. Gagnidze O. 14. Gauto R. 2. Gvishiani G. 25. Labadze A. (G) 18. Visentini L.
20. Andghuladze D. 9. Avaliani A. 4. Dvalishvili J. 24. Giunashvili A. 16. Gogolauri B. 18. Inaishvili D. 1. Nanava L. (G) 27. Tsetskhaldze D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Jangidze T. 🟥,
12', Tsulaia L. ↓, Akhalkatsi S. ↑,
13', 0 - 1, Kapanadze N. ⚽,
17', Mchedlishvili G. 🟨,
27', Paghava D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Gigashvili Z. ↓, Gauto R. ↑,
46', Oloko-Obi T. 🟨,
48', 1 - 1, Chikovani T. ⚽, Mandzhgaladze G. (A),
53', 1 - 2, Kapanadze N. ⚽, Kharebava G. (A),
62', Paghava D. ↓, Giunashvili A. ↑,
65', Kharebava G. ↓, Avaliani A. ↑,
66', Chikovani T. ↓, Gagnidze O. ↑,
69', 2 - 2, Odikadze T. ⚽, Gauto R. (A),
80', Lopez B. 🟨,
83', Pachulia D. 🟨,
87', Pachulia D. ↓, Inaishvili D. ↑,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 8 in the zone Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation) and 9 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Samtredia won 1.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
Samtredia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Samtredia won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:15. (average 1.5:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Samtredia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.5:0.9).