Match Info

ISRAEL: LIGA ALEF SOUTH - ROUND 18

Date: 27 January 2023, Friday


	Dimona		Hapoel Bikat Hayarden

	1	X	2
	1.71	2.95	5
	1.7	3.47	4.79
	1.73	3.14	4.95
	1.66	3.25	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (2.46)	3.2 ↑ (2.91)	5.06 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dimona
53.6%

Draw
28.4%

Hapoel Bikat Hayarden
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

31.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

30.5%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dimona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dimona's performance.

Hapoel Bikat Hayarden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hapoel Bikat Hayarden might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dimona than the current prediction. (-15.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dimona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Bikat Hayarden than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hapoel Bikat Hayarden could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef South (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Dimona could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Dimona will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Dimona won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Dimona won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Dimona
Israeli Liga Alef South
19.01.23	Maccabi Herzliya - Dimona	3:1 ✺
13.01.23	Dimona - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	1:2 ✺
06.01.23	Dimona - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	0:0 ✺
30.12.22	Ironi Modiin - Dimona	0:3 ✺
23.12.22	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Dimona	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLTWW
- Hapoel Bikat Hayarden
Israeli Liga Alef South
20.01.23	Hapoel Bikat Hayarden - Shimshon Tel Aviv	0:0 ✺
13.01.23	Maccabi Shaarayim - Hapoel Bikat Hayarden	1:2 ✺
06.01.23	Shimshon Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Bikat Hayarden	1:0 ✺
30.12.22	Hapoel Bikat Hayarden - Hapoel Herzliya	1:1 ✺
22.12.22	Maccabi Yavne - Hapoel Bikat Hayarden	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
23.09.22	Hapoel Bikat Hayarden - Dimona	2:2
11.03.22	Hapoel Bikat Hayarden - Dimona	2:1
26.11.21	Dimona - Hapoel Bikat Hayarden	0:0

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