Match Info

ISRAEL: Liga Alef South - Round 26

Date: 9 April 2024, Tuesday


	Shimshon Kafr Qasim		Hapoel Bikat Hayarden

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.4	3.28	2.71
	2.29	3.28	2.71
	2.46	3.29	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.12)	3.28 ↑ (3.2)	2.71 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shimshon Kafr Qasim
38.4%

Draw
27.8%

Hapoel Bikat Hayarden
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

28.4%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

27.7%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shimshon Kafr Qasim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Hapoel Bikat Hayarden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hapoel Bikat Hayarden's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimshon Kafr Qasim than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shimshon Kafr Qasim, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Bikat Hayarden than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hapoel Bikat Hayarden, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 🟥,
21', 0 - 1, Romano Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
82', 0 - 2, ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shimshon Kafr Qasim won 1.

Shimshon Kafr Qasim is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Hapoel Bikat Hayarden is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Shimshon Kafr Qasim could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Shimshon Kafr Qasim have a series of guest games.

Shimshon Kafr Qasim will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Shimshon Kafr Qasim won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Shimshon Kafr Qasim won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shimshon Kafr Qasim
Israeli Liga Alef South
05.04.24	Hapoel Marmorek - Shimshon Kafr Qasim	0:2 ✺
28.03.24	Shimshon Kafr Qasim - Agudat Sport Ashdod	2:3 ✺
22.03.24	Hapoel Herzliya - Shimshon Kafr Qasim	5:0 ✺
19.03.24	Dimona - Shimshon Kafr Qasim	2:0 ✺
16.03.24	Hapoel Bnei Lod - Shimshon Kafr Qasim	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLLL
- Hapoel Bikat Hayarden
Israeli Liga Alef South
05.04.24	Hapoel Bikat Hayarden - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	3:2 ✺
22.03.24	Hapoel Bikat Hayarden - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	0:3 ✺
15.03.24	Maccabi Shaarayim - Hapoel Bikat Hayarden	1:1 ✺
12.03.24	Hapoel Bikat Hayarden - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	0:1 ✺
07.03.24	Ironi Modiin - Hapoel Bikat Hayarden	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
19.01.24	Hapoel Bikat Hayarden - Shimshon Kafr Qasim	2:0
21.04.23	Hapoel Bikat Hayarden - Shimshon Kafr Qasim	11:1
06.01.23	Shimshon Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Bikat Hayarden	1:0
04.02.22	Hapoel Bikat Hayarden - Shimshon Kafr Qasim	0:0
08.10.21	Shimshon Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Bikat Hayarden	0:0
08.11.19	Shimshon Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Bikat Hayarden	3:0

Shimshon Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Bikat Hayarden: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide