Match Info

ISRAEL: Liga Alef South - Round 11

Date: 8 November 2024, Friday


	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod		Dimona

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.6	1.7
	4.1	3.55	1.74
	3.9	3.1	1.78
	3.91	3.42	1.85	Watch
	4.22	3.52	1.73
	4.1	3.55	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.02 ↑ (2.64)	3.46 ↑ (3.24)	1.76 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
22.5%

Draw
26.1%

Dimona
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

28%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

28.5%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maccabi Ironi Ashdod's form might have worsened.

Dimona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dimona's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Ironi Ashdod than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maccabi Ironi Ashdod, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dimona than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dimona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	6.2%	93.7%

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Dimona Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Dimona will win (votes: 15 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dimona: 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef ~ Promotion Play Offs (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Maccabi Ironi Ashdod won 2.

Recent matches Maccabi Ironi Ashdod is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dimona in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Dimona is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Maccabi Ironi Ashdod won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:6 (average 0.7:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Maccabi Ironi Ashdod won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:3 (average 0:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
Israeli Liga Alef South
05.11.24	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Agudat Sport Ashdod	5:2 ✺
31.10.24	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	0:1 ✺
22.10.24	Ironi Modiin - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	1:2 ✺
15.10.24	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Maccabi Yavne	0:1 ✺
09.10.24	Hapoel Herzliya - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWWLL
- SC Dimona
Israeli Liga Alef South
05.11.24	Hapoel Bnei Lod - Dimona	0:3 ✺
01.11.24	Dimona - Hapoel Azor	4:0 ✺
22.10.24	Dimona - Nordia Jerusalem	3:1 ✺
15.10.24	Tzeirei Tira - Dimona	1:2 ✺
09.10.24	Dimona - Hapoel Marmorek	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
03.05.24	Dimona - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	1:2
09.02.24	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Dimona	0:2
13.01.23	Dimona - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	1:2
09.09.22	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Dimona	0:0
08.04.22	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Dimona	0:1
24.12.21	Dimona - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	1:0

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