Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 July 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Adjarabet Arena (Batumi) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Karabaev S. (Kaz)


	Dinamo Batumi		Dečić Tuzi

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.25	6.5	Watch
	1.33	4.75	8.25
	1.35	4.75	8.5
	1.33	4.62	9.26
	1.35	4.79	8.78	Watch
	1.36	4.2	7.5
	1.33	4.85	9.35	Watch
	1.34	4.8	8.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.53)	4.75 ↑ (4.17)	8.37 ↑ (5.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo Batumi
69.3%

Draw
19.6%

Dečić Tuzi
11.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60%

22%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

21.1%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo Batumi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dinamo Batumi's performance.

Dečić Tuzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dečić Tuzi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Batumi than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dinamo Batumi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dečić Tuzi than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dečić Tuzi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.5%	4.3%	4.3%

Dinamo Batumi - Dečić Tuzi Predictions

Users Predictions: Dinamo Batumi will win (42 of 46 users predict this - 91.3%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.16% – 99.44%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Silva R. (G) 35. Chiteishvili R. 23. Kobakhidze M. (C) 14. Kharabadze L. 25. Wanderson 17. Mamuchashvili V. 5. Alef Santos 29. Jean Victor 27. Gudushauri P. 11. Blesa J. 7. Gomis H.	1. Nikic I. (G) 22. Dresaj J. (C) 4. Milic S. 5. Tomasevic Z. 6. Malesevic L. 8. Chagas C. 20. Sekulovic P. 10. Kajevic A. 77. Strikovic V. 50. Matic B. 11. Puleio I.
Substitutes
22. Inaishvili D. 31. Injgia R. 13. Kharatishvili L. (G) 2. Mali N. 19. Mara U. 9. Mujiri D. 40. Pachulia D. 21. Tambedou B. 1. Turmanidze M. (G)	16. Bozanovic M. 7. Bozovic D. 9. Camaj I. 3. Gjelaj R. 15. Ljuljdjuraj P. 18. Maras L. 12. Masovic A. 33. Stijepovic O. 17. Ujkaj L. 13. Velimirovic P. (G)
Coaches
Demchenko A.	Pekovic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Puleio I. 🟨,
31', Malesevic L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
58', Jean Victor ↓, Mara U. ↑,
61', Matic B. ↓, Camaj I. ↑,
61', Chagas C. ↓, Bozanovic M. ↑,
62', 0 - 1, Camaj I. ⚽, Malesevic L. (A),
66', Gudushauri P. ↓, Tambedou B. ↑,
66', 0 - 2, Camaj I. ⚽, Puleio I. (A),
70', Strikovic V. 🟨,
73', Strikovic V. ↓, Stijepovic O. ↑,
73', Sekulovic P. ↓, Bozovic D. ↑,
74', Camaj I. 🟨,
76', Blesa J. ↓, Mujiri D. ↑,
76', Chiteishvili R. ↓, Mali N. ↑,
83', Puleio I. ↓, Ujkaj L. ↑,
90+5', Mujiri D. 🟨,
90+9', Alef Santos 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Dinamo Batumi is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dečić has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Dečić could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Dečić have a series of guest games.

In this match Dinamo Batumi is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dinamo Batumi
UEFA Champions League
17.07.24	Dinamo Batumi - Ludogorets Razgrad	1:0 ✺
10.07.24	Ludogorets Razgrad - Dinamo Batumi	3:1 ✺
Georgian Super Cup
03.07.24	Dinamo Batumi - Iberia 1999	3:2 ✺
28.06.24	Dinamo Batumi - Torpedo Kutaisi	3:4 penalties ✺
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
01.06.24	Samtredia - Dinamo Batumi	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWLT
- FK Dečić Tuzi
UEFA Champions League
16.07.24	Dečić Tuzi - The New Saints	1:1 ✺
09.07.24	The New Saints - Dečić Tuzi	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.06.24	Vojvodina - Dečić Tuzi	2:0 ✺
26.06.24	Spartak Subotica - Dečić Tuzi	2:0 ✺
22.06.24	OFK Beograd - Dečić Tuzi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLL

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